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Premiership
Referee: E Anderson
Livingston
T T U T T
1–0
Full-time
St Mirren
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
2,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,5
This season — Premiership · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 24%
8%
40%
Points per game
0,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
40%
44%
Both score Ø 34%
40%
28%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
0,6
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
6 Shots 21
3 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 9
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Livingston 12. · St Mirren 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 25 19 4 2 +40 61
2 Rangers 25 20 1 4 +40 61
3 Hearts 25 15 3 7 +11 48
4 Kilmarnock 25 9 9 7 +2 36
5 St Mirren 25 10 5 10 +0 35
6 Dundee 25 8 8 9 -4 32
7 Motherwell 25 5 11 9 -4 26
8 Hibernian 24 6 8 10 -10 26
9 Aberdeen 24 6 8 10 -10 26
10 ST Johnstone 25 5 9 11 -15 24
11 Ross County 25 4 7 14 -23 19
12 Livingston 25 2 7 16 -27 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Nov -23 St Mirren – Livingston 1–0 2. Sep -23 Livingston – St Mirren 1–1 1. Apr -23 St Mirren – Livingston 3–0 28. Dec -22 Livingston – St Mirren 1–1 1. Oct -22 St Mirren – Livingston 2–1

Match report

Livingston St Mirren
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 L. Jamieson
↦ J. Scott
1–0 T. Yengi ⚽
48′
M. Devlin 🔁
↦ A. Shinnie
66′
68′
🟨 Caolan Boyd-Munce
69′
🔁 T. Olusanya
↦ G. Kiltie
69′
🔁 K. Baccus
↦ Kwon Hyeok-Kyu
75′
ℹ️ Toyosi Olusanya
VAR: Penalty confirmed
D. Mackay 🔁
↦ S. Kelly
83′
83′
🔁 J. Brown
↦ E. Bwomono
K. Guthrie 🔁
↦ T. Yengi
88′
Jamie Brandon 🟨
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Livingston

4-3-3
1 S. George G
12 J. Brandon D
21 M. Nottingham D
6 A. Obileye D
20 M. Sangare D
22 A. Shinnie M
4 D. Carson M
18 J. Holt M
19 J. Nouble F
33 T. Yengi F
10 S. Kelly F
Bench (9)
5 M. Devlin
11 D. Mackay
28 K. Guthrie
9 B. Anderson
40 S. Lawal
35 C. Ledingham
23 M. McGovern
24 S. Kelly
36 S. Culbert

Coach: D. Martindale

St Mirren

3-4-3
1 Z. Hemming G
22 M. Fraser D
13 A. Gogić D
18 C. Dunne D
42 E. Bwomono M
16 Kwon Hyeok-Kyu M
15 C. Boyd-Munce M
3 S. Tanser M
14 J. Scott F
9 M. Mandron F
11 G. Kiltie F
Bench (9)
24 L. Jamieson
20 T. Olusanya
17 K. Baccus
21 J. Brown
27 P. Urminský
8 R. Flynn
33 E. Mooney
37 C. Penman
5 R. Taylor

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,08
🔒
U
3,14
🔒
B
2,38
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,43
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,54
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Anderson · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.