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Serie B
Referee: M Volpi
Sampdoria
T T S U T
1–1
Full-time
Brescia
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Brescia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
1,8
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
54%
25%
Both score Ø 57%
67%
46%
Average goals
2,9
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
13 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 6
17 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sampdoria 14. · Brescia 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 25 16 6 3 +23 54
2 Cremonese 25 13 7 5 +16 46
3 Como 24 13 6 5 +8 45
4 Venezia 24 13 5 6 +14 44
5 Palermo 24 12 6 6 +13 42
6 Catanzaro 24 11 5 8 +4 38
7 Cittadella 25 10 6 9 -1 36
8 Bari 25 7 12 6 -2 33
9 Modena 24 8 9 7 -3 33
10 Cosenza 25 8 8 9 +2 32
11 Brescia 24 8 8 8 +1 32
12 Pisa 25 7 9 9 -1 30
13 Reggiana 25 6 12 7 -3 30
14 Sampdoria 24 8 5 11 -7 29
15 Sudtirol 24 7 6 11 -4 27
16 Ternana 25 6 7 12 -4 25
17 Spezia 25 5 10 10 -13 25
18 Ascoli 25 5 8 12 -7 23
19 FeralpiSalo 25 5 6 14 -14 21
20 Lecco 25 5 5 15 -22 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sampdoria Brescia
24′
🟨 Gabriele Moncini
Ebrima Darboe 🟨
26′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 A. Jallow
↦ F. Bianchi
52′
🟨 Mohamed Fares
58′
🔁 M. Mangraviti
↦ M. Fares
58′
🔁 M. Ferro
↦ B. Bjarnason
1–0 P. Kasami
E. Darboe
62′
L. Benedetti 🔁
↦ E. Darboe
69′
71′
🔁 F. Paghera
↦ T. van de Looi
77′
🔁 M. Besaggio
↦ M. Bertagnoli
G. Leoni 🔁
↦ C. Piccini
80′
K. Askildsen 🔁
↦ Gerard Yepes
86′
P. Stojanović 🔁
↦ A. Álvarez
87′
S. Ntanda 🔁
↦ M. De Luca
88′
94′
D. Adorni 1–1
F. Paghera
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sampdoria

3-5-2
1 F. Stanković G
2 C. Piccini D
87 D. Ghilardi D
33 F. González D
23 F. Depaoli M
14 P. Kasami M
28 Gerard Yepes M
55 E. Darboe M
3 A. Barreca M
19 A. Álvarez F
9 M. De Luca F
Bench (12)
80 L. Benedetti
46 G. Leoni
5 K. Askildsen
40 P. Stojanović
43 S. Ntanda
22 N. Ravaglia
37 M. Langella
45 G. Alesi
48 N. Uberti
32 S. Girelli
47 S. Pozzato
12 E. Tantalocchi

Coach: A. Pirlo

Brescia

4-3-1-2
22 L. Andrenacci G
24 L. Dickmann D
32 A. Papetti D
28 D. Adorni D
6 M. Fares D
25 D. Bisoli M
5 T. van de Looi M
26 M. Bertagnoli M
7 B. Bjarnason M
11 G. Moncini F
9 F. Bianchi F
Bench (8)
18 A. Jallow
14 M. Mangraviti
31 M. Ferro
4 F. Paghera
39 M. Besaggio
3 M. Huard
16 R. Cartano
30 M. Avella

Coach: R. Maran

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,07
U ✓
3,16
B
3,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,33
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Volpi · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.