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Ligue 2

Referee: P Gaillouste

Bastia

S T U S T

0–4

Full-time

St Etienne

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia St Etienne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 17%

17%

Average goals

1,5

2,2

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

0,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 39%

32%

46%

Points per game

1,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

39%

36%

Both score Ø 34%

36%

32%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

51% Possession 49%

10 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 9

2 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bastia 15. · St Etienne 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	29	15	10	4	+25	55
2	Angers	28	15	5	8	+12	50
3	Laval	28	13	9	6	+7	48
4	St Etienne	28	13	6	9	+9	45
5	Caen	29	12	6	11	+2	42
6	Rodez	28	10	10	8	+5	40
7	Grenoble	28	10	10	8	+5	40
8	Guingamp	28	10	9	9	+3	39
9	Paris FC	28	10	9	9	+2	39
10	Amiens	28	9	12	7	-3	39
11	Bordeaux	28	10	8	10	-3	38
12	Ajaccio	28	10	8	10	-3	38
13	Pau FC	28	9	10	9	-2	37
14	Troyes	28	8	10	10	-3	34
15	Bastia	28	9	7	12	-4	34
16	Dunkerque	28	9	7	12	-12	34
17	Concarneau	28	9	6	13	-8	33
18	Quevilly Rouen	28	5	12	11	-3	27
19	Annecy	28	6	9	13	-9	27
20	Valenciennes	28	2	11	15	-20	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	14	11	2	1	+16	35
2	Auxerre	15	8	5	2	+14	29
3	Ajaccio	14	8	5	1	+11	29
4	Bordeaux	14	7	4	3	+6	25
5	Caen	14	7	3	4	+8	24
6	St Etienne	15	7	3	5	+7	24
7	Bastia	14	7	3	4	+2	24
8	Rodez	13	6	5	2	+8	23
9	Troyes	14	7	2	5	+5	23
10	Grenoble	14	6	5	3	+5	23
11	Amiens	15	5	8	2	+3	23
12	Pau FC	14	5	5	4	+2	20
13	Laval	14	5	5	4	-3	20
14	Paris FC	14	5	4	5	+3	19
15	Guingamp	13	4	5	4	+3	17
16	Concarneau	14	4	3	7	-7	15
17	Dunkerque	15	4	3	8	-10	15
18	Annecy	14	2	6	6	-7	12
19	Quevilly Rouen	13	2	5	6	-3	11
20	Valenciennes	14	1	6	7	-8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Laval	14	8	4	2	+10	28
2	Auxerre	14	7	5	2	+11	26
3	Guingamp	15	6	4	5	+0	22
4	St Etienne	13	6	3	4	+2	21
5	Paris FC	14	5	5	4	-1	20
6	Dunkerque	13	5	4	4	-2	19
7	Concarneau	14	5	3	6	-1	18
8	Caen	15	5	3	7	-6	18
9	Grenoble	14	4	5	5	+0	17
10	Rodez	15	4	5	6	-3	17
11	Pau FC	14	4	5	5	-4	17
12	Quevilly Rouen	15	3	7	5	+0	16
13	Amiens	13	4	4	5	-6	16
14	Annecy	14	4	3	7	-2	15
15	Angers	14	4	3	7	-4	15
16	Bordeaux	14	3	4	7	-9	13
17	Troyes	14	1	8	5	-8	11
18	Bastia	14	2	4	8	-6	10
19	Ajaccio	14	2	3	9	-14	9
20	Valenciennes	14	1	5	8	-12	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.