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Ligue 2
Referee: T Bouille
Ajaccio
S U S T S
1–0
Full-time
Troyes
T U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajaccio Troyes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 27%
38%
15%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
46%
62%
Both score Ø 50%
31%
69%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
7 Shots 3
3 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ajaccio 7. · Troyes 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 13 9 2 2 +9 29
2 Angers 13 8 2 3 +9 26
3 St Etienne 13 7 3 3 +6 24
4 Auxerre 13 6 4 3 +11 22
5 Grenoble 13 5 6 2 +3 21
6 Guingamp 13 5 5 3 +7 20
7 Ajaccio 13 5 5 3 +2 20
8 Rodez 13 5 4 4 +2 19
9 Amiens 13 5 4 4 -2 19
10 Pau FC 12 5 3 4 -1 18
11 Bastia 13 4 4 5 -4 16
12 Bordeaux 14 4 4 6 -6 16
13 Caen 13 4 3 6 +2 15
14 Annecy 14 3 6 5 -5 15
15 Concarneau 12 4 3 5 -5 15
16 Paris FC 13 4 2 7 -3 14
17 Troyes 13 2 7 4 -1 13
18 Quevilly Rouen 13 2 4 7 -4 10
19 Dunkerque 13 2 3 8 -10 9
20 Valenciennes 13 1 6 6 -10 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ajaccio Troyes
13′
🔁 A. Bruus
↦ J. Assoumou
Maxime Chanot 🟨
17′
1–0 Y. Touzghar
T. Jabol-Folcarelli
22′
Half-time 1–0
R. Nouri 🔁
↦ V. Jacob
55′
67′
🔁 N. de Préville
↦ A. Bruus
67′
🔁 I. Boura
↦ Abdu Conté
68′
🟨 Abdoulaye Ndiaye
B. Touré 🔁
↦ Y. Touzghar
73′
Yacine Bammou 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ajaccio

4-5-1
16 F. Sollacaro G
20 M. Youssouf D
2 M. Chanot D
21 C. Avinel D
3 S. Quemper D
10 Y. Bammou M
8 V. Marchetti M
6 T. Mangani M
26 T. Jabol-Folcarelli M
19 V. Jacob M
9 Y. Touzghar F
Bench (7)
7 R. Nouri
11 B. Touré
31 T. Strata
17 Everson
37 M. Puch-Herrantz
5 C. Vidal
30 G. Quilichini

Coach: O. Pantaloni

Troyes

4-2-3-1
38 D. Alemdar G
28 M. Diop D
22 T. Zoukrou D
3 A. N'Diaye D
12 Abdu Conté D
39 D. Mazou-Sacko M
10 Y. M'Changama M
27 K. Dong M
21 L. Ilić M
11 R. Saïd M
40 J. Assoumou F
Bench (7)
19 A. Bruus
17 N. de Préville
8 I. Boura
33 R. Kohon
23 J. Olaïtan
5 M. Tahrat
16 N. Lemaître

Coach: P. Kisnorbo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,86
U
3,34
B
4,38
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,29
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Bouille · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.