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Serie B
Monza
U U U T S
2–0
Full-time
Frosinone
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monza Frosinone
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 44%
20%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 20%
40%
0%
Both score Ø 30%
60%
0%
Average goals
1,6
1,3
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
This season — Serie B · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 44%
20%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 20%
40%
0%
Both score Ø 30%
60%
0%
Average goals
1,6
1,3
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

13 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 1
7 Corners 8
25 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Monza 11. · Frosinone 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salernitana 7 4 2 1 +6 14
2 Empoli 6 4 1 1 +4 13
3 Chievo 6 4 1 1 +4 13
4 Frosinone 6 4 1 1 +4 13
5 Spal 7 3 3 1 +3 12
6 Cittadella 5 3 1 1 +6 10
7 Venezia 5 3 1 1 +5 10
8 Lecce 6 2 3 1 +1 9
9 Reggina 6 1 4 1 +1 7
10 Pordenone 6 1 4 1 -1 7
11 Monza 5 1 3 1 +0 6
12 Brescia 5 1 2 2 -1 5
13 Cosenza 6 0 5 1 -2 5
14 Virtus Entella 5 0 4 1 -2 4
15 Reggiana 5 1 1 3 -3 4
16 Ascoli 6 1 1 4 -4 4
17 Pisa 6 0 4 2 -5 4
18 Vicenza 5 0 3 2 -2 3
19 Cremonese 5 0 3 2 -3 3
20 Pescara 6 0 1 5 -11 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,11
U
3,12
B
3,61
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,22
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.