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Serie B

Monza

U U U

1–2

Full-time

Chievo

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monza Chievo

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 9%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

0,7

1,2

Scored

0,3

0,8

Conceded

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

This season — Serie B · 3/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 13%

25%

Both score Ø 29%

33%

25%

Average goals

0,7

1,3

Scored

0,3

0,8

Conceded

0,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

12 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 4

4 Corners 7

11 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Monza 13. · Chievo 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Empoli	5	4	1	0	+6	13
2	Cittadella	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Salernitana	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Venezia	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Frosinone	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Chievo	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Reggina	4	1	3	0	+2	6
8	Lecce	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Reggiana	4	1	1	2	+0	4
10	Cosenza	4	0	4	0	+0	4
11	Brescia	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Ascoli	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Monza	3	0	3	0	+0	3
14	Spal	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Pordenone	4	0	3	1	-2	3
16	Cremonese	4	0	3	1	-2	3
17	Virtus Entella	4	0	3	1	-2	3
18	Pisa	5	0	3	2	-5	3
19	Vicenza	3	0	2	1	-1	2
20	Pescara	4	0	1	3	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Empoli	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Cittadella	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Venezia	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Salernitana	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Brescia	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Reggina	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Frosinone	3	1	1	1	-1	4
8	Chievo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Ascoli	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Lecce	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Pisa	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Vicenza	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Cosenza	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Pordenone	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Spal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Monza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Reggiana	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Pescara	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Virtus Entella	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Cremonese	2	0	1	1	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Empoli	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Cittadella	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Salernitana	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Chievo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Reggiana	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Lecce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Cremonese	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Reggina	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Cosenza	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Monza	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Virtus Entella	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Spal	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Pordenone	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Venezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Ascoli	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Pisa	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Vicenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Brescia	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Pescara	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.