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Serie A

Referee: G Aureliano

Benevento

T S T T T

0–3

Full-time

Spezia

S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benevento Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,5

3,8

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

2,8

2,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

This season — Serie A · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,5

3,8

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

2,8

2,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

37% Possession 63%

4 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 7

0 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 4

6 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Benevento 14. · Spezia 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	6	5	1	0	+9	16
2	Sassuolo	7	4	3	0	+9	15
3	Napoli	5	4	0	1	+10	12
4	Atalanta	6	4	0	2	+4	12
5	Inter	6	3	2	1	+5	11
6	Verona	6	3	2	1	+5	11
7	Roma	6	3	2	1	+3	11
8	Sampdoria	7	3	1	3	+0	10
9	Cagliari	7	3	1	3	-1	10
10	Lazio	6	3	1	2	-2	10
11	Juventus	5	2	3	0	+6	9
12	Fiorentina	6	2	1	3	-2	7
13	Bologna	6	2	0	4	-1	6
14	Benevento	6	2	0	4	-7	6
15	Parma	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	Genoa	6	1	2	3	-6	5
17	Spezia	6	1	2	3	-7	5
18	Torino	6	1	1	4	-4	4
19	Udinese	7	1	1	5	-5	4
20	Crotone	6	0	1	5	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Verona	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Roma	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Milan	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Napoli	3	2	0	1	+7	6
5	Bologna	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Sassuolo	4	1	3	0	+3	6
7	Cagliari	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Fiorentina	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+3	4
10	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Inter	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Parma	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Lazio	3	1	1	1	-2	4
14	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Genoa	3	1	0	2	+0	3
16	Udinese	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	Benevento	3	1	0	2	-3	3
18	Crotone	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Spezia	3	0	1	2	-6	1
20	Torino	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Milan	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Atalanta	4	3	0	1	+3	9
4	Inter	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Lazio	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Sampdoria	4	2	0	2	-2	6
8	Juventus	3	1	2	0	+3	5
9	Torino	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Spezia	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Roma	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Cagliari	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Benevento	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Genoa	3	0	2	1	-6	2
15	Verona	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Udinese	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Fiorentina	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Parma	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Bologna	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Crotone	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.