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Serie B
Salernitana
T U S S U
1–0
Full-time
Ascoli
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Ascoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,8
This season — Serie B · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

15 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 3
21 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salernitana 3. · Ascoli 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Empoli 5 4 1 0 +6 13
2 Cittadella 4 3 1 0 +7 10
3 Salernitana 4 2 2 0 +4 8
4 Venezia 4 2 1 1 +3 7
5 Frosinone 4 2 1 1 +1 7
6 Chievo 4 2 1 1 +1 7
7 Reggina 4 1 3 0 +2 6
8 Lecce 4 1 2 1 -1 5
9 Reggiana 4 1 1 2 +0 4
10 Cosenza 4 0 4 0 +0 4
11 Brescia 4 1 1 2 -1 4
12 Ascoli 4 1 1 2 -2 4
13 Monza 3 0 3 0 +0 3
14 Spal 4 0 3 1 -1 3
15 Pordenone 4 0 3 1 -2 3
16 Cremonese 4 0 3 1 -2 3
17 Virtus Entella 4 0 3 1 -2 3
18 Pisa 5 0 3 2 -5 3
19 Vicenza 3 0 2 1 -1 2
20 Pescara 4 0 1 3 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,06
U
3,13
B
3,74
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,90
U2,5 ✓
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.