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Pro League

Referee: A Boucaut

Genk

U S T U S

4–2

Full-time

Eupen

U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Eupen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,2

Scored

2,0

0,7

Conceded

1,5

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,8

This season — Pro League · 1/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

3,5

Scored

3,0

1,5

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

56% Possession 44%

24 Shots 9

14 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 10

8 Corners 2

1 Offside 4

9 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Genk 6. · Eupen 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	4	2	1	1	+3	7
2	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Antwerp	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Kortrijk	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	St. Gilloise	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Genk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Charleroi	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Anderlecht	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Cercle Brugge	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Eupen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Oostende	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	St Truiden	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Gent	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Club Brugge	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Standard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Mechelen	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Seraing	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Seraing United	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Genk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Charleroi	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Oostende	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Eupen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Cercle Brugge	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	St Truiden	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Club Brugge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Gent	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Seraing	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Seraing United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Mechelen	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kortrijk	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	St. Gilloise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	St Truiden	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Waregem	2	0	1	1	-1	1
7	Mechelen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Club Brugge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Anderlecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Charleroi	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Standard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Eupen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Seraing	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Seraing United	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Oostende	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.