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Pro League
Referee: J Vergoote
Mechelen
T T U T T
3–0
Full-time
St. Gilloise
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,3
1,5
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
2,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
6 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 5
4 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 17. · St. Gilloise 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 4 2 1 1 +3 7
2 Kortrijk 4 2 1 1 +0 7
3 Genk 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Antwerp 2 2 0 0 +3 6
6 Oostende 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 St. Gilloise 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Anderlecht 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 Cercle Brugge 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 St Truiden 3 0 3 0 +0 3
11 Charleroi 3 1 0 2 -1 3
12 Eupen 3 1 0 2 -3 3
13 Gent 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Club Brugge 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Standard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Westerlo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Mechelen 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 Seraing 2 0 0 2 -3 0
19 Seraing United 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen St. Gilloise
11′
🟨 Viktor Boone
1–0 R. Schoofs
J. Ngoy
44′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 R. Sykes
↦ V. Boone
1–1 L. Amani
own goal
51′
56′
🟨 Ilyes Ziani
58′
🟨 Teddy Teuma
2–1 J. Ngoy
G. Hairemans
59′
Dimitri Lavalėe 🟨
60′
62′
🔁 O. El Azzouzi
↦ T. Teuma
62′
🔁 S. Lynen
↦ L. Amani
62′
🔁 M. El Boukammiri
↦ D. Vanzeir
Rob Schoofs 🟨
65′
74′
🔁 A. Dony
↦ B. Nieuwkoop
J. Hernández 🔁
↦ J. Van Hecke
78′
T. Raemaekers 🔁
↦ G. Hairemans
78′
G. Engvall 🔁
↦ J. Ngoy
84′
88′
🟨 Loic Lapoussin
S. Oum Gouet 🔁
↦ N. Storm
89′
I. Swers 🔁
↦ B. Bolingoli-Mbombo
89′
91′
🟨 Cameron Puertas
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-3-3
1 G. Coucke G
5 S. Walsh D
23 T. Peyre D
18 A. Van Hoorenbeeck D
21 B. Bolingoli-Mbombo D
6 J. Van Hecke M
16 R. Schoofs M
14 D. Lavalée M
7 G. Hairemans F
9 J. Ngoy F
11 N. Storm F
Bench (7)
8 J. Hernández
28 T. Raemaekers
20 G. Engvall
17 S. Oum Gouet
2 I. Swers
10 Y. Malede
15 Y. Thoelen

Coach: D. Buijs

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
3 V. Boone D
16 C. Burgess D
44 S. Van der Heyden D
2 B. Nieuwkoop M
23 Cameron Puertas M
8 L. Amani M
17 T. Teuma M
94 L. Lapoussin M
13 D. Vanzeir F
24 I. Ziani F
Bench (7)
26 R. Sykes
6 O. El Azzouzi
20 S. Lynen
32 M. El Boukammiri
85 A. Dony
11 S. Adingra
21 L. Pirard

Coach: K. Geraerts

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,14
U
3,58
B
2,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,16
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Vergoote · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.