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Premier League
Referee: S Hooper
Newcastle
S T T S S
2–0
Full-time
Nott'm Forest
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Newcastle Nott'm Forest
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
23 Shots 5
10 Shots on target 0
5 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
11 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Dec -16 Newcastle – Nott'm Forest 3–1 2. Dec -16 Nott'm Forest – Newcastle 2–1

Match report

Newcastle Nott'm Forest
15′
🟨 Joe Worrall
23′
🟨 Neco Williams
Half-time 0–0
56′
🟨 Lewis O'Brien
1–0 F. Schär ⚽
58′
63′
🔁 T. Awoniyi
↦ S. Surridge
75′
🔁 O. Mangala
↦ L. OBrien
2–0 C. Wilson ⚽
Joelinton
78′
S. Longstaff 🔁
↦ J. Willock
80′
R. Fraser 🔁
↦ M. Almirón
81′
83′
🔁 A. Mighten
↦ M. Niakhaté
C. Wood 🔁
↦ C. Wilson
89′
J. Murphy 🔁
↦ A. Saint-Maximin
90′
S. Botman 🔁
↦ Bruno Guimarães
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Newcastle

4-3-3
22 N. Pope G
2 K. Trippier D
5 F. Schär D
33 D. Burn D
13 M. Targett D
28 J. Willock M
39 Bruno Guimarães M
7 Joelinton M
24 M. Almirón F
9 C. Wilson F
10 A. Saint-Maximin F
Bench (9)
36 S. Longstaff
21 R. Fraser
20 C. Wood
4 S. Botman
23 J. Murphy
11 M. Ritchie
32 E. Anderson
1 M. Dúbravka
3 P. Dummett

Coach: E. Howe

Nott'm Forest

3-4-1-2
1 D. Henderson G
4 J. Worrall D
19 M. Niakhaté D
26 S. McKenna D
7 N. Williams M
14 L. O'Brien M
8 J. Colback M
15 H. Toffolo M
11 J. Lingard F
20 B. Johnson F
16 S. Surridge F
Bench (9)
9 T. Awoniyi
5 O. Mangala
17 A. Mighten
6 L. Mbe Soh
2 G. Biancone
33 L. Taylor
18 Cafú
41 O. Hammond
13 W. Hennessey

Coach: S. Cooper

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,67
🔒
U
3,80
🔒
B
5,57
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,03
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,81
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Hooper · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.