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Ekstraklasa
Referee: K Jakubik
Jagiellonia
U S S T T
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Radomiak Radom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,7
3,7
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
0,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
This season — Ekstraklasa · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

33% Possession 67%
4 Shots 29
3 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 9
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 8
3 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 3
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Jagiellonia 12. · Radomiak Radom 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wisla Plock 3 3 0 0 +9 9
2 Cracovia 4 3 0 1 +5 9
3 Stal Mielec 4 2 1 1 +3 7
4 Korona Kielce 4 2 1 1 +1 7
5 Legia 4 2 1 1 +1 7
6 Rakow 2 2 0 0 +2 6
7 Pogon Szczecin 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Slask Wroclaw 3 1 1 1 -1 4
9 Zaglebie 3 1 1 1 -1 4
10 Gornik Zabrze 2 1 0 1 +1 3
11 Widzew Lodz 3 1 0 2 +0 3
12 Jagiellonia 3 1 0 2 -1 3
13 Lechia Gdansk 3 1 0 2 -3 3
14 Warta Poznan 3 1 0 2 -4 3
15 Radomiak Radom 3 0 2 1 -3 2
16 Legnica 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Lech Poznan 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Piast Gliwice 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Jagiellonia Radomiak Radom
1–0 Marc Gual
O. Wojciechowski
12′
Marc Gual ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
13′
Mateusz Skrzypczak 🟨
23′
24′
🟨 Filipe Nascimento
Jesús Imaz 🟨
30′
Fedor Černych ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
42′
Mateusz Skrzypczak 🟨
44′
Mateusz Skrzypczak 🟥
44′
45′
🟨 Roberto Alves
Half-time 1–0
Nené 🔁
↦ O. Wojciechowski
46′
46′
🔁 Lisandro Semedo
↦ Luís Machado
50′
🟨 Luís Machado
A. Trubeha 🔁
↦ Marc Gual
56′
Bogdan Țîru 🟨
61′
61′
ℹ️ Maurides
VAR: Penalty confirmed
T. Romanczuk 🔁
↦ M. Pospíšil
63′
63′
Filipe Nascimento 1–1
Andrzej Trubeha 🟥
69′
Andrzej Trubeha ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
69′
71′
🔁 D. Łukasik
↦ Filipe Nascimento
79′
🔁 D. Pawłowski
↦ M. Grzybek
B. Bida 🔁
↦ Jesús Imaz
84′
W. Łaski 🔁
↦ F. Černych
84′
84′
🔁 D. Sokół
↦ T. Cele
94′
Maurides 1–2
Leândro
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Jagiellonia

3-4-3
1 Z. Alomerović G
25 B. Țîru D
72 M. Skrzypczak D
5 B. Nastić D
14 T. Přikryl M
26 M. Pospíšil M
22 O. Wojciechowski M
27 B. Wdowik M
11 Jesús Imaz F
10 F. Černych F
28 Marc Gual F
Bench (9)
8 Nené
74 A. Trubeha
6 T. Romanczuk
9 B. Bida
77 W. Łaski
36 J. Lewicki
33 B. Żynel
60 M. Kowalski
19 P. Olszewski

Coach: M. Stolarczyk

Radomiak Radom

4-3-3
1 G. Kobylak G
30 M. Grzybek D
29 Raphael Rossi D
16 M. Cichocki D
33 D. Abramowicz D
10 R. Alves M
23 Filipe Nascimento M
2 T. Cele M
9 Leândro F
13 Maurides F
20 Luís Machado F
Bench (9)
7 Lisandro Semedo
35 D. Łukasik
5 D. Pawłowski
97 D. Sokół
3 Pedro Justiniano
90 J. Nowakowski
75 J. Ojrzyński
99 M. Feliks
11 D. Pik

Coach: M. Lewandowski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Jakubik · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.