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Bundesliga
Referee: F Zwayer
Bochum
T S S T S
1–2
Full-time
Mainz
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bochum Mainz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

60% Possession 40%
16 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Jan -22 Mainz – Bochum 1–0 21. Aug -21 Bochum – Mainz 2–0

Match report

Bochum Mainz
Konstantinos Stafylidis 🟨
13′
Simon Zoller ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
20′
26′
⚽ K. Onisiwo 0–1
E. Fernandes
33′
🟨 Anton Stach
1–1 K. Stöger ⚽
K. Stafylidis
39′
Half-time 1–1
62′
🔁 D. Burgzorg
↦ A. Fulgini
62′
🔁 L. Barreiro
↦ Lee Jae-Sung
64′
🟨 Stefan Bell
J. Osei-Tutu 🔁
↦ S. Zoller
76′
S. Ganvoula 🔁
↦ P. Hofmann
76′
77′
⚽ K. Onisiwo 1–2
A. Stach
P. Förster 🔁
↦ G. Holtmann
81′
84′
🟨 Delano Burgzorg
85′
🔁 M. Mustapha
↦ K. Onisiwo
S. Janko 🔁
↦ C. Gamboa
87′
Silvère Ganvoula 🟨
93′
94′
🔁 A. Caci
↦ E. Fernandes
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Bochum

4-2-3-1
1 M. Riemann G
2 C. Gamboa D
4 E. Mašović D
20 I. Ordets D
16 K. Stafylidis D
8 A. Losilla M
7 K. Stöger M
9 S. Zoller M
11 T. Asano M
17 G. Holtmann M
33 P. Hofmann F
Bench (9)
18 J. Osei-Tutu
35 S. Ganvoula
10 P. Förster
23 S. Janko
6 P. Osterhage
21 M. Esser
24 V. Lampropoulos
25 M. Tolba
22 C. Antwi-Adjei

Coach: T. Reis

Mainz

5-4-1
27 R. Zentner G
20 E. Fernandes D
16 S. Bell D
42 A. Hack D
5 M. Leitsch D
3 Aarón Martín D
6 A. Stach M
31 D. Kohr M
7 Lee Jae-Sung M
10 A. Fulgini M
9 K. Onisiwo F
Bench (9)
37 D. Burgzorg
8 L. Barreiro
36 M. Mustapha
19 A. Caci
11 M. Ingvartsen
4 A. Barkok
23 Anderson Lucoqui
24 M. Papela
1 F. Dahmen

Coach: B. Svensson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,23
🔒
U
3,42
🔒
B ✓
2,26
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,93
🔒
U2,5
1,89
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.