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Coppa Italia
Referee: F Fourneau
Bari
T T S U T
0–3
Full-time
Parma
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Parma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Reggiana 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Udinese 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Bologna 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Genoa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Cittadella 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 FeralpiSalo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Frosinone 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Catanzaro 2 1 0 1 -2 3
9 Virtus Entella 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Cesena 2 0 1 1 -2 1
11 Modena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Empoli 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Vicenza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Pisa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Foggia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Pescara 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Jan -23 Bari – Parma 4–0 19. Oct -22 Parma – Bari 1–0 12. Aug -22 Parma – Bari 2–2

Match report

Bari Parma
8′
⚽ A. Benedyczak 0–1
33′
🟨 V. Zagaritis
34′
⚽ A. Bonny 0–2
S. Sohm
N. Bellomo 🟨
35′
A. Benali 🟨
35′
36′
🟨 N. Estevez
G. Morachioli 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 C. Ansaldi
↦ V. Zagaritis
60′
🔁 Adrián Bernabé
↦ Hernani
R. Pucino 🔁
↦ G. Ricci
63′
G. Sibilli 🔁
↦ A. Scheidler
63′
F. Faggi 🔁
↦ N. Bellomo
63′
69′
🔁 A. Partipilo
↦ S. Sohm
75′
⚽ D. Man 0–3
C. Ansaldi
A. D'Errico 🔁
↦ G. Morachioli
76′
77′
🔁 T. Begić
↦ A. Benedyczak
77′
🔁 V. Mihăilă
↦ A. Bonny
F. Lops 🔁
↦ M. Maita
88′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Bari

1 P. Frattali
6 V. Di Cesare
23 F. Vicari
31 G. Ricci
93 M. Dorval
10 N. Bellomo
4 M. Maita
8 Ahmed Benali
44 A. Scheidler
77 G. Morachioli
9 M. Nasti
Bench (12)
25 R. Pucino
20 G. Sibilli
19 F. Faggi
14 A. D'Errico
29 F. Lops
3 M. Perrotta
28 A. Hemsley
5 E. Matino
12 L. Pellegrini
21 Ž. Žužek
33 D. Celiento
13 E. Polverino

Coach: M. Mignani

Parma

40 E. Corvi
3 Y. Osorio
26 W. Coulibaly
47 V. Zagaritis
39 A. Circati
27 Hernani
8 N. Estévez
19 S. Sohm
98 D. Man
7 A. Benedyczak
13 A. Bonny
Bench (13)
14 C. Ansaldi
10 Adrián Bernabé
21 A. Partipilo
11 T. Begić
28 V. Mihăilă
63 F. Motti
61 M. Anas
4 B. Balogh
17 A. Čolak
1 L. Chichizola
84 D. Šits
15 E. Del Prato
29 F. Rinaldi

Coach: F. Pecchia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Fourneau · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.