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Serie B
Referee: I Pezzuto
Ascoli
U U S T T
0–1
Full-time
Como
U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ascoli Como
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 12/11 matches
Win Ø 35%
25%
45%
Points per game
1,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
42%
55%
Both score Ø 49%
42%
55%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
8 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 3
7 Offside 4
19 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ascoli 15. · Como 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 12 9 2 1 +16 29
2 Venezia 13 8 3 2 +8 27
3 Palermo 12 7 2 3 +9 23
4 Modena 12 6 4 2 +3 22
5 Catanzaro 13 6 3 4 +2 21
6 Cremonese 12 5 4 3 +5 19
7 Como 11 5 3 3 +1 18
8 Bari 12 3 8 1 +2 17
9 Sudtirol 11 4 4 3 +3 16
10 Cosenza 12 4 4 4 +3 16
11 Cittadella 12 4 4 4 -3 16
12 Reggiana 12 3 6 3 -1 15
13 Brescia 11 3 4 4 +0 13
14 Pisa 12 3 4 5 -2 13
15 Ascoli 12 3 3 6 -3 12
16 Sampdoria 12 3 3 6 -4 12
17 Lecco 11 2 3 6 -8 9
18 Spezia 12 1 6 5 -8 9
19 Ternana 12 1 3 8 -6 6
20 FeralpiSalo 12 1 3 8 -17 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ascoli Como
4′
P. Cutrone 0–1
N. Ioannou
23′
🟨 Simone Verdi
Samuel Giovane 🟨
28′
Fabrizio Caligara 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–1
Pablo Rodríguez 🔁
↦ F. Caligara
46′
63′
🔁 T. Cassandro
↦ A. Iovine
63′
🔁 A. Gabrielloni
↦ S. Verdi
68′
🟨 Adrian Šemper
69′
🟨 Nicholas Ioannou
71′
🟨 Tommaso Cassandro
S. D'Uffizi 🔁
↦ S. Giovane
72′
77′
🔁 O. Abildgaard
↦ L. da Cunha
77′
🔁 M. Mustapha
↦ P. Cutrone
V. Millico 🔁
↦ B. Bayeye
82′
E. Gnahoré 🔁
↦ F. Di Tacchio
82′
83′
🟨 Marlon Mustapha
G. Manzari 🔁
↦ Pedro Mendes
87′
Giuseppe Bellusci 🟨
88′
90′
🔁 D. Baselli
↦ B. Kone
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Ascoli

4-4-2
1 D. Barosi G
40 B. Bayeye D
55 G. Bellusci D
14 D. Quaranta D
54 N. Falasco D
10 F. Caligara M
18 F. Di Tacchio M
8 S. Giovane M
23 M. Falzerano M
30 I. Nestorovski F
90 Pedro Mendes F
Bench (12)
99 Pablo Rodríguez
15 S. D'Uffizi
7 V. Millico
5 E. Gnahoré
28 G. Manzari
96 E. Rossi
17 C. Adjapong
73 P. Masini
20 T. Milanese
33 Eric Botteghin
3 K. Haveri
12 L. Bolletta

Coach: W. Viali

Como

3-4-2-1
1 A. Šemper G
5 M. Curto D
26 C. Odenthal D
93 F. Barba D
6 A. Iovine M
14 A. Bellemo M
94 B. Kone M
44 N. Ioannou M
90 S. Verdi F
33 L. da Cunha F
10 P. Cutrone F
Bench (12)
84 T. Cassandro
9 A. Gabrielloni
28 O. Abildgaard
99 M. Mustapha
8 D. Baselli
22 M. Vigorito
7 M. Chajia
27 A. Cerri
20 L. Kerrigan
23 F. Scaglia
4 M. Solini
3 M. Sala

Coach: M. Longo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,90
U
3,04
B ✓
2,58
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,30
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

I Pezzuto · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.