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Premiership
Referee: D Munro
Motherwell
T U T T U
1–2
Full-time
Hearts
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
This season — Premiership · 12/11 matches
Win Ø 31%
25%
36%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
50%
27%
Both score Ø 43%
58%
27%
Average goals
2,8
1,9
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

41% Possession 59%
8 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 10
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 9. · Hearts 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 12 10 2 0 +21 32
2 Rangers 11 8 0 3 +18 24
3 St Mirren 11 5 4 2 +4 19
4 Kilmarnock 12 4 4 4 +1 16
5 Hearts 11 4 2 5 -1 14
6 Dundee 11 3 5 3 -5 14
7 Aberdeen 10 3 3 4 +0 12
8 Hibernian 12 2 6 4 -3 12
9 Motherwell 12 3 3 6 -5 12
10 ST Johnstone 12 2 5 5 -10 11
11 Ross County 12 2 4 6 -10 10
12 Livingston 12 2 4 6 -10 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Sep -23 Hearts – Motherwell 0–1 19. Feb -23 Motherwell – Hearts 2–0 6. Nov -22 Hearts – Motherwell 3–2 18. Sep -22 Motherwell – Hearts 0–3 11. May -22 Motherwell – Hearts 2–1

Match report

Motherwell Hearts
27′
⚽ L. Shankland 0–1
F. Kent
32′
ℹ️ Liam Boyce
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Harrison Paton 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–1
B. Spencer 🔁
↦ T. Bair
46′
56′
🔁 T. Sibbick
↦ A. Forrest
Callum Slattery 🟨
62′
71′
⚽ L. Shankland 0–2
B. Baningime
O. Shaw 🔁
↦ M. Biereth
72′
J. Obika 🔁
↦ C. Wilkinson
72′
75′
🔁 J. Grant
↦ A. Lowry
G. Gent 🔁
↦ S. ODonnell
78′
1–2 B. Spittal ⚽
78′
Calum Butcher 🟨
80′
83′
🔁 K. Vargas
↦ L. Boyce
86′
🟨 Toby Sibbick
Georgie Gent 🟨
89′
89′
🟨 Beni Baningime
B. Mugabi 🔁
↦ C. Slattery
91′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Motherwell

3-4-3
1 L. Kelly G
15 D. Casey D
66 C. Butcher D
20 S. Blaney D
2 S. O'Donnell M
8 C. Slattery M
12 H. Paton M
7 B. Spittal M
99 C. Wilkinson F
24 M. Biereth F
14 T. Bair F
Bench (9)
22 B. Spencer
18 O. Shaw
9 J. Obika
3 G. Gent
5 B. Mugabi
39 L. Ross
37 D. Wells
17 D. Zdravkovski
13 A. Oxborough

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Hearts

3-5-2
28 Z. Clark G
3 S. Kingsley D
2 F. Kent D
15 K. Rowles D
17 A. Forrest M
8 C. Nieuwenhof M
6 B. Baningime M
51 A. Lowry M
19 A. Cochrane M
9 L. Shankland F
10 L. Boyce F
Bench (9)
21 T. Sibbick
7 J. Grant
77 K. Vargas
16 A. Halliday
11 Y. Oda
12 M. McGovern
5 P. Haring
30 K. Tagawa
14 C. Devlin

Coach: S. Naismith

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,92
🔒
U
3,34
🔒
B ✓
2,38
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,93
🔒
U2,5
1,84
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Munro · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.