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Pro League

Referee: W De Cremer

Mechelen

U T T T U

1–0

Full-time

Charleroi

T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,2

4,0

Scored

0,5

1,8

Conceded

1,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 8/10 matches

Win Ø 18%

25%

10%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

38%

50%

Both score Ø 53%

25%

80%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,92 xG 0,43

53% Possession 47%

19 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 2

4 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Mechelen 11. · Charleroi 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	8	7	0	1	+13	+9.6	21
2	Cercle Brugge	9	7	0	2	+9	+8.0	21
3	Anderlecht	8	6	1	1	+10	+3.3	19
4	Antwerp	9	4	4	1	+17	+11.1	16
5	Gent	8	4	3	1	+3	+3.0	15
6	Club Brugge	9	4	2	3	+11	+13.3	14
7	Genk	8	3	4	1	+10	+9.3	13
8	RWD Molenbeek	11	3	4	4	-9	-7.7	13
9	Standard	9	3	3	3	-4	-10.1	12
10	St Truiden	9	2	4	3	-5	-4.7	10
11	Mechelen	8	2	2	4	-4	-4.5	8
12	Kortrijk	10	2	2	6	-13	-3.5	8
13	Eupen	11	2	2	7	-14	-16.2	8
14	Charleroi	10	1	4	5	-8	-6.2	7
15	Westerlo	9	1	3	5	-7	-5.9	6
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	1	2	5	-9	+1.0	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	4	4	0	0	+8	+2.5	12
2	Cercle Brugge	4	4	0	0	+6	+3.9	12
3	Antwerp	5	3	2	0	+15	+11.0	11
4	Gent	4	3	1	0	+3	+0.5	10
5	St. Gilloise	3	3	0	0	+9	+4.4	9
6	Club Brugge	4	2	2	0	+8	+6.5	8
7	Kortrijk	6	2	2	2	-2	-2.2	8
8	RWD Molenbeek	6	2	2	2	-3	-4.5	8
9	Mechelen	4	2	1	1	+3	-1.4	7
10	Standard	5	2	1	2	+0	-4.6	7
11	Genk	5	1	3	1	+3	+4.7	6
12	Charleroi	5	1	3	1	-1	+0.2	6
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.0	4
14	St Truiden	5	1	1	3	-6	-2.9	4
15	Eupen	5	1	1	3	-7	-5.7	4
16	Westerlo	4	1	0	3	-5	-4.6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	5	4	0	1	+4	+5.1	12
2	Cercle Brugge	5	3	0	2	+3	+4.2	9
3	Genk	3	2	1	0	+7	+4.6	7
4	Anderlecht	4	2	1	1	+2	+0.8	7
5	Club Brugge	5	2	0	3	+3	+6.7	6
6	St Truiden	4	1	3	0	+1	-1.7	6
7	Antwerp	4	1	2	1	+2	+0.2	5
8	Gent	4	1	2	1	+0	+2.5	5
9	Standard	4	1	2	1	-4	-5.6	5
10	RWD Molenbeek	5	1	2	2	-6	-3.2	5
11	Eupen	6	1	1	4	-7	-10.5	4
12	Westerlo	5	0	3	2	-2	-1.3	3
13	Charleroi	5	0	1	4	-7	-6.4	1
14	Mechelen	4	0	1	3	-7	-3.1	1
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	0	1	4	-11	+1.0	1
16	Kortrijk	4	0	0	4	-11	-1.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.