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LaLiga2
Referee: Adrián Cordero
Elche
U S S S U
2–0
Full-time
Zaragoza
T U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Zaragoza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 40%
36%
43%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
29%
21%
Both score Ø 43%
50%
36%
Average goals
1,9
2,0
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
13 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elche 11. · Zaragoza 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 15 11 1 3 +19 34
2 Valladolid 15 9 1 5 +3 28
3 Sp Gijon 14 8 3 3 +10 27
4 Eibar 14 8 2 4 +8 26
5 Espanol 14 7 3 4 +8 24
6 Levante 15 6 6 3 +3 24
7 Ferrol 14 6 5 3 +2 23
8 Tenerife 14 7 2 5 +2 23
9 Zaragoza 14 6 4 4 +4 22
10 Santander 15 6 3 6 +1 21
11 Elche 14 5 5 4 -3 20
12 Eldense 14 5 4 5 -2 19
13 Oviedo 14 4 6 4 +4 18
14 Mirandes 14 5 3 6 -1 18
15 Burgos 14 5 2 7 -4 17
16 Andorra 14 5 1 8 -5 16
17 Albacete 14 4 4 6 -6 16
18 Villarreal B 14 3 4 7 -6 13
19 Alcorcon 14 3 4 7 -9 13
20 Huesca 14 2 6 6 -5 12
21 Amorebieta 14 2 4 8 -10 10
22 Cartagena 14 1 3 10 -13 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elche Zaragoza
23′
🟨 Quentin Lecoeuche
Half-time 0–0
Nicolás Fernández 🟨
55′
1–0 Tete Morente
Josan
61′
2–0 Óscar Plano
Tete Morente
64′
Tete Morente 🟨
67′
67′
🔁 Sergio Bermejo
↦ Germán Valera
68′
🔁 Sergi Enrich
↦ Maikel Mesa
Cristian Salvador 🔁
↦ Raúl Guti
71′
Rodrigo Mendoza 🔁
↦ Óscar Plano
71′
Mourad El Ghezouani 🟨
74′
76′
🟨 Manu Vallejo
76′
🔁 Toni Moya
↦ Francho Serrano
Borja Garcés 🔁
↦ N. Fernández Mercau
82′
L. Blanco 🔁
↦ Tete Morente
83′
Lautaro Blanco 🟨
86′
87′
🔁 Marcos Cuenca
↦ Manu Vallejo
Javier Pamies 🔁
↦ Aleix Febas
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Elche

4-4-2
1 Miguel San Román G
17 Josan D
2 Mario Gaspar D
4 Diego González D
23 Carlos Clerc D
22 N. Fernández Mercau M
14 Aleix Febas M
8 Raúl Guti M
11 Tete Morente M
19 Mourad F
7 Óscar Plano F
Bench (11)
20 Cristian Salvador
30 Rodrigo Mendoza
18 Borja Garcés
3 L. Blanco
34 Javier Pamies
6 Pedro Bigas
13 Edgar Badia
24 Sergio Carreira
29 Nordin
15 Álex Martín
12 José Salinas

Coach: S. Beccacece

Zaragoza

4-2-3-1
35 Dani Rebollo G
38 Andrés Borge D
6 Alejandro Francés D
3 Jair Amador D
22 Q. Lecoeuche D
14 Francho Serrano M
5 Jaume Grau M
7 Germán Valera M
11 Maikel Mesa M
19 Manu Vallejo M
9 Iván Azón F
Bench (11)
10 Sergio Bermejo
23 Sergi Enrich
21 Toni Moya
34 Marcos Cuenca
15 S. Mouriño
24 Lluís López
26 Alberto Vaquero
31 Juan Serrano
27 Marcos Luna
13 G. Poussin
36 Guillermo Acín

Coach: Fran Escribá

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,94
U
3,29
B
4,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,30
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Adrián Cordero · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.