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Serie B
Referee: L Zufferli
Como
S S T U S
2–1
Full-time
Venezia
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Como Venezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
This season — Serie B · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 54%
52%
56%
Points per game
1,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
52%
67%
Both score Ø 52%
44%
59%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,8
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%
8 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Como 4. · Venezia 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 28 17 8 3 +25 59
2 Venezia 27 15 6 6 +17 51
3 Cremonese 27 14 8 5 +17 50
4 Como 27 14 7 6 +8 49
5 Palermo 28 13 7 8 +13 46
6 Catanzaro 27 13 6 8 +7 45
7 Brescia 28 9 11 8 +3 38
8 Modena 27 8 12 7 -3 36
9 Cittadella 27 10 6 11 -4 36
10 Sudtirol 28 9 8 11 -2 35
11 Cosenza 27 8 9 10 +1 33
12 Bari 27 7 12 8 -5 33
13 Sampdoria 27 9 6 12 -7 33
14 Reggiana 27 6 14 7 -3 32
15 Pisa 27 7 10 10 -2 31
16 Ternana 28 7 8 13 -5 29
17 Ascoli 27 6 9 12 -6 27
18 Spezia 27 5 11 11 -15 26
19 FeralpiSalo 27 6 6 15 -13 24
20 Lecco 28 5 6 17 -26 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Como Venezia
1–0 S. Verdi
L. da Cunha
38′
40′
J. Pohjanpalo 1–1
F. Zampano
Half-time 1–1
Simone Verdi 🟨
49′
A. Iovine 🔁
↦ M. Curto
54′
63′
🔁 M. Ellertsson
↦ B. Bjarkason
P. Cutrone 🔁
↦ S. Verdi
66′
75′
🟨 Antonio Candela
76′
🔁 M. Olivieri
↦ N. Pierini
76′
🔁 A. Dembélé
↦ A. Candela
76′
🔁 M. Kofod Andersen
↦ G. Busio
M. Chajia 🔁
↦ L. da Cunha
81′
T. Fumagalli 🔁
↦ A. Gabrielloni
81′
M. Braunöder 🔁
↦ A. Bellemo
81′
82′
🔁 C. Gytkjær
↦ J. Pohjanpalo
88′
🟨 Marin Šverko
2–1 P. Cutrone
A. Iovine
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Como

4-2-3-1
1 A. Šemper G
5 M. Curto D
2 E. Goldaniga D
26 C. Odenthal D
3 M. Sala D
28 O. Abildgaard M
14 A. Bellemo M
21 Gabriel Strefezza M
90 S. Verdi M
33 L. da Cunha M
9 A. Gabrielloni F
Bench (12)
6 A. Iovine
10 P. Cutrone
7 M. Chajia
99 T. Fumagalli
27 M. Braunöder
77 J. Nsame
32 F. Rispoli
44 N. Ioannou
23 N. Gioacchini
93 F. Barba
84 T. Cassandro
22 M. Vigorito

Coach: O. Roberts

Venezia

3-5-2
1 J. Joronen G
4 J. Idzes D
30 M. Svoboda D
33 M. Šverko D
27 A. Candela M
19 B. Bjarkason M
8 T. Tessmann M
6 G. Busio M
7 F. Zampano M
20 J. Pohjanpalo F
10 N. Pierini F
Bench (12)
77 M. Ellertsson
99 M. Olivieri
25 A. Dembélé
38 M. Kofod Andersen
9 C. Gytkjær
13 M. Modolo
21 D. Cheryshev
23 M. Grandi
18 M. Jajalo
31 M. Ullmann
15 G. Altare
12 Bruno

Coach: P. Vanoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,29
U
3,26
B
3,07
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,04
U2,5
1,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Zufferli · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.