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Serie B

Referee: G Ayroldi

Ascoli

T S T U U

0–0

Full-time

Modena

T U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ascoli Modena

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,3

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

This season — Serie B · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 23%

21%

24%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

39%

45%

Both score Ø 56%

48%

64%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%

11 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ascoli 18. · Modena 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	34	20	10	4	+27	70
2	Como	33	19	7	7	+14	64
3	Venezia	33	18	7	8	+22	61
4	Cremonese	33	17	8	8	+15	59
5	Catanzaro	33	16	7	10	+11	55
6	Palermo	34	14	10	10	+10	52
7	Sampdoria	33	13	7	13	-1	46
8	Brescia	33	11	12	10	+3	45
9	Pisa	33	11	10	12	-1	43
10	Cittadella	33	11	10	12	-3	43
11	Sudtirol	33	11	9	13	-1	42
12	Reggiana	34	8	16	10	-8	40
13	Cosenza	34	9	12	13	+1	39
14	Modena	33	8	15	10	-7	39
15	Ternana	33	9	9	15	-7	36
16	Bari	33	7	14	12	-10	35
17	Spezia	33	7	14	12	-15	35
18	Ascoli	33	7	12	14	-5	33
19	FeralpiSalo	33	8	7	18	-16	31
20	Lecco	33	6	8	19	-29	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Como	17	11	4	2	+12	37
2	Venezia	17	11	3	3	+14	36
3	Parma	17	10	6	1	+13	36
4	Palermo	17	8	3	6	+7	27
5	Catanzaro	16	8	3	5	+7	27
6	Cremonese	17	7	5	5	+7	26
7	Cittadella	17	7	4	6	+3	25
8	Brescia	16	6	6	4	+4	24
9	Pisa	17	6	6	5	+3	24
10	Sudtirol	16	6	4	6	+2	22
11	Bari	16	5	7	4	+0	22
12	Sampdoria	17	6	3	8	-1	21
13	Modena	17	5	5	7	-3	20
14	Ascoli	16	4	7	5	+3	19
15	Ternana	17	4	7	6	+0	19
16	Spezia	16	4	7	5	-1	19
17	Cosenza	17	4	6	7	+1	18
18	Reggiana	17	2	10	5	-9	16
19	Lecco	16	4	2	10	-12	14
20	FeralpiSalo	16	3	4	9	-5	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	17	10	4	3	+14	34
2	Cremonese	16	10	3	3	+8	33
3	Catanzaro	17	8	4	5	+4	28
4	Como	16	8	3	5	+2	27
5	Venezia	16	7	4	5	+8	25
6	Palermo	17	6	7	4	+3	25
7	Sampdoria	16	7	4	5	+0	25
8	Reggiana	17	6	6	5	+1	24
9	Cosenza	17	5	6	6	+0	21
10	Brescia	17	5	6	6	-1	21
11	Sudtirol	17	5	5	7	-3	20
12	Modena	16	3	10	3	-4	19
13	Pisa	16	5	4	7	-4	19
14	Cittadella	16	4	6	6	-6	18
15	FeralpiSalo	17	5	3	9	-11	18
16	Ternana	16	5	2	9	-7	17
17	Spezia	17	3	7	7	-14	16
18	Ascoli	17	3	5	9	-8	14
19	Bari	17	2	7	8	-10	13
20	Lecco	17	2	6	9	-17	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.