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Serie B
Referee: M Ferrieri Caputi
0–1
Full-time
Frosinone
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Modena Frosinone
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
4,5
4,5
Scored
3,0
2,2
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Modena Frosinone
34′
M. Rohdén 0–1
L. Garritano
Half-time 0–1
47′
🟨 Fabio Lucioni
50′
🟨 Ben Lhassine Kone
L. Magnino 🔁
↦ F. Gerli
56′
L. Tremolada 🔁
↦ N. Mosti
56′
S. Panada 🔁
↦ M. Armellino
56′
Simone Panada 🟨
60′
66′
🔁 K. Lulić
↦ M. Rohdén
67′
🔁 M. Bočić
↦ G. Caso
67′
🔁 R. Ciervo
↦ L. Garritano
T. Battistella 🔁
↦ M. Gargiulo
73′
78′
🟨 Stefano Turati
N. Bonfanti 🔁
↦ D. Falcinelli
80′
86′
🟨 Daniel Boloca
86′
🔁 G. Borrelli
↦ S. Mulattieri
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Modena

4-3-1-2
26 R. Gagno G
96 S. Oukhadda D
5 G. Cittadini D
4 A. Pergreffi D
27 Paulo Azzi D
21 M. Armellino M
16 F. Gerli M
20 M. Gargiulo M
8 N. Mosti M
11 D. Falcinelli F
99 D. Diaw F
Bench (12)
6 L. Magnino
10 L. Tremolada
43 S. Panada
23 T. Battistella
9 N. Bonfanti
33 F. Renzetti
3 F. Ponsi
18 M. Minesso
15 T. Silvestri
28 S. De Maio
19 R. Giovannini
1 A. Narciso

Coach: A. Tesser

Frosinone

4-2-3-1
22 S. Turati G
2 A. Oyono D
5 F. Lucioni D
25 P. Szymiński D
29 M. Cotali D
11 D. Boloca M
4 B. Kone M
7 M. Rohdén M
16 L. Garritano M
10 G. Caso M
9 S. Mulattieri F
Bench (11)
8 K. Lulić
19 M. Bočić
21 R. Ciervo
90 G. Borrelli
23 S. Kalaj
79 G. Bracaglia
30 I. Monterisi
12 G. Marcianò
15 H. Haoudi
1 L. Loria
41 A. Oliveri

Coach: F. Grosso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,82
U
3,05
B ✓
2,60
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,18
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Ferrieri Caputi · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.