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Serie B
Referee: I Pezzuto
Spezia
S U S U U
2–1
Full-time
Frosinone
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Frosinone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,7
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie B · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Spezia 11. · Frosinone 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sudtirol 2 2 0 0 +2 6
2 Juve Stabia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Cesena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Brescia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Cosenza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Salernitana 2 1 0 1 +0 3
7 Modena 2 1 0 1 +0 3
8 Frosinone 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Sampdoria 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Pisa 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Spezia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Reggiana 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Mantova 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Catanzaro 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Sassuolo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Cittadella 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Carrarese 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Palermo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Cremonese 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Bari 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Spezia Frosinone
Nicolò Bertola 🟨
30′
34′
🟨 Davide Biraschi
38′
M. Çuni 0–1
E. Darboe
Half-time 0–1
50′
🟨 Jérémy Oyono
57′
🟨 Anthony Oyono
P. Candelari 🔁
↦ F. Bandinelli
61′
E. Soleri 🔁
↦ D. Falcinelli
61′
68′
🔁 F. Distefano
↦ F. Ghedjemis
68′
🔁 L. Garritano
↦ E. Darboe
73′
🟨 Michele Cerofolini
1–1 S. Esposito
75′
78′
🔁 E. Pecorino
↦ M. Çuni
78′
🔁 G. Kvernadze
↦ G. Ambrosino
G. Aurelio 🔁
↦ L. Vignali
82′
G. Di Serio 🔁
↦ F. Esposito
82′
F. Cassata 🔁
↦ Á. Nagy
87′
92′
🔁 G. Bracaglia
↦ A. Oyono
2–1 G. Aurelio
E. Soleri
92′
97′
🟨 Ilario Monterisi
Edoardo Soleri 🟨
98′
98′
🟨 Luca Garritano
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Spezia

3-5-2
1 M. Sarr G
37 A. Matějů D
55 P. Hristov D
77 N. Bertola D
32 L. Vignali M
5 S. Esposito M
8 Á. Nagy M
25 F. Bandinelli M
7 S. Elia M
9 F. Esposito F
11 D. Falcinelli F
Bench (12)
36 P. Candelari
27 E. Soleri
31 G. Aurelio
20 G. Di Serio
29 F. Cassata
6 D. Degli Innocenti
65 S. Giorgeschi
4 Salvador Ferrer
44 M. Benvenuto
13 A. Reca
2 P. Wiśniewski
12 D. Mascardi

Coach: L. D'Angelo

Frosinone

3-4-2-1
31 M. Cerofolini G
30 I. Monterisi D
3 R. Marchizza D
4 D. Biraschi D
21 J. Oyono M
64 M. Cichella M
55 E. Darboe M
20 A. Oyono M
7 F. Ghedjemis F
10 G. Ambrosino F
9 M. Çuni F
Bench (12)
28 F. Distefano
16 L. Garritano
90 E. Pecorino
17 G. Kvernadze
79 G. Bracaglia
1 P. Frattali
6 L. Zaknic
23 S. Kalaj
47 Mateus Lusuardi
99 F. Sene
77 A. Selvini
8 İ. Vural

Coach: V. Vivarini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,32
U
3,33
B
2,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,91
U2,5
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

I Pezzuto · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.