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Serie B
Referee: G Manganiello
Cremonese
S U S T T
1–1
Full-time
Bari
U U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Bari
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
This season — Serie B · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
43%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
19 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cremonese 8. · Bari 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Pisa 8 5 2 1 +5 17
2 Spezia 8 4 4 0 +5 16
3 Sassuolo 8 4 3 1 +6 15
4 Juve Stabia 8 4 2 2 +1 14
5 Brescia 7 4 0 3 +3 12
6 Palermo 7 3 2 2 +2 11
7 Cesena 8 3 2 3 +1 11
8 Cremonese 7 3 1 3 +2 10
9 Mantova 7 3 1 3 -2 10
10 Bari 7 2 3 2 +2 9
11 Cosenza 7 2 3 2 +0 9
12 Reggiana 8 2 3 3 -1 9
13 Sudtirol 7 3 0 4 -2 9
14 Modena 7 2 2 3 +0 8
15 Sampdoria 8 2 2 4 -1 8
16 Salernitana 7 2 2 3 -1 8
17 Cittadella 8 2 2 4 -6 8
18 Catanzaro 7 1 4 2 -1 7
19 Carrarese 8 2 1 5 -5 7
20 Frosinone 8 1 3 4 -8 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cremonese Bari
Luca Zanimacchia 🟨
17′
18′
🟨 Ahmad Benali
27′
K. Lasagna 0–1
G. Sibilli
Half-time 0–1
M. Nasti 🔁
↦ L. Zanimacchia
46′
L. Sernicola 🔁
↦ T. Barbieri
46′
55′
🔁 C. Saco
↦ G. Sibilli
Marco Nasti 🟨
64′
64′
🟨 Boris Radunović
F. Vázquez 🔁
↦ J. Vandeputte
66′
67′
🔁 A. Novakovich
↦ C. Falletti
67′
🔁 A. Favilli
↦ K. Lasagna
1–1 L. Sernicola
M. Bianchetti
70′
F. Bonazzoli 🔁
↦ C. Buonaiuto
77′
87′
🟨 Coli Saco
Federico Ceccherini 🟨
88′
L. Lochoshvili 🔁
↦ F. Ceccherini
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Cremonese

3-5-2
1 A. Fulignati G
26 V. Antov D
23 F. Ceccherini D
15 M. Bianchetti D
4 T. Barbieri M
18 M. Collocolo M
6 C. Pickel M
27 J. Vandeputte M
98 L. Zanimacchia M
9 M. De Luca F
10 C. Buonaiuto F
Bench (12)
99 M. Nasti
17 L. Sernicola
20 F. Vázquez
90 F. Bonazzoli
44 L. Lochoshvili
5 L. Ravanelli
62 T. Milanese
21 G. Saro
22 A. Jungdal
42 L. Moretti
3 G. Quagliata
37 Ž. Majer

Coach: G. Stroppa

Bari

3-5-2
1 B. Radunović G
25 R. Pucino D
23 F. Vicari D
3 V. Mantovani D
7 A. Oliveri M
4 M. Maita M
8 Ahmad Benali M
20 G. Sibilli M
93 M. Dorval M
15 K. Lasagna F
19 C. Falletti F
Bench (12)
94 C. Saco
9 A. Novakovich
99 A. Favilli
55 N. Obaretin
18 G. Manzari
44 L. Šimić
11 L. Sgarbi
17 R. Maiello
27 C. Favasuli
22 M. Pissardo
13 A. Tripaldelli
10 N. Bellomo

Coach: M. Longo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,91
U ✓
3,45
B
3,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,99
U2,5 ✓
1,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Manganiello · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.