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Serie B
Referee: F Maresca
Cesena
U S U T S
1–1
Full-time
Pisa
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cesena Pisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
This season — Serie B · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 48%
36%
60%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
44%
52%
Both score Ø 54%
56%
52%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
3 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 2
6 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cesena 8. · Pisa 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 26 19 4 3 +33 61
2 Pisa 25 15 6 4 +17 51
3 Spezia 26 13 11 2 +23 50
4 Cremonese 26 11 8 7 +11 41
5 Catanzaro 26 8 15 3 +8 39
6 Juve Stabia 26 10 9 7 +2 39
7 Bari 26 7 13 6 +3 34
8 Cesena 25 9 6 10 -1 33
9 Palermo 26 8 8 10 +2 32
10 Modena 26 6 13 7 +0 31
11 Cittadella 26 8 7 11 -14 31
12 Carrarese 26 8 6 12 -9 30
13 Brescia 26 6 11 9 -5 29
14 Reggiana 26 7 8 11 -5 29
15 Mantova 26 6 11 9 -8 29
16 Sampdoria 26 6 10 10 -7 28
17 Sudtirol 26 8 4 14 -12 28
18 Cosenza 26 5 10 11 -10 25
19 Salernitana 26 6 7 13 -11 25
20 Frosinone 26 4 11 11 -17 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cesena Pisa
33′
I. Touré 0–1
L. Mendicino 🔁
↦ M. Francesconi
37′
39′
🟨 Simone Canestrelli
41′
🟨 Henrik Wendel Meister
Half-time 0–1
F. Russo 🔁
↦ C. Shpendi
46′
Daniele Donnarumma ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
48′
Emanuele Adamo ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
49′
Daniele Donnarumma 🟥
49′
R. Celia 🔁
↦ T. Berti
52′
Emanuele Adamo 🟨
53′
57′
🟨 Idrissa Touré
58′
🔁 L. Sernicola
↦ I. Touré
59′
🔁 M. Højholt
↦ H. Meister
67′
🔁 O. Moruțan
↦ M. Tramoni
67′
🔁 O. Abildgaard
↦ G. Piccinini
S. Bastoni 🔁
↦ M. Piacentini
70′
M. Antonucci 🔁
↦ D. Šarić
70′
Leonardo Mendicino 🟨
71′
Jonathan Klinsmann 🟨
73′
1–1 A. La Gumina
79′
82′
🔁 A. Arena
↦ S. Canestrelli
Flavio Russo 🟨
85′
92′
🟨 Samuele Angori
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Cesena

3-4-1-2
33 J. Klinsmann G
26 M. Piacentini D
19 G. Prestia D
24 M. Mangraviti D
17 E. Adamo M
70 M. Francesconi M
8 D. Šarić M
7 D. Donnarumma M
14 T. Berti F
27 A. La Gumina F
9 C. Shpendi F
Bench (10)
5 L. Mendicino
91 F. Russo
13 R. Celia
30 S. Bastoni
23 M. Antonucci
93 A. Siano
1 M. Pisseri
71 G. Manetti
73 S. Pieraccini
20 E. Tavşan

Coach: M. Mignani

Pisa

3-4-2-1
47 A. Šemper G
5 S. Canestrelli D
4 A. Caracciolo D
94 G. Bonfanti D
15 I. Touré M
36 G. Piccinini M
6 M. Marin M
3 S. Angori M
32 S. Moreo F
11 M. Tramoni F
14 H. Meister F
Bench (12)
66 L. Sernicola
8 M. Højholt
80 O. Moruțan
28 O. Abildgaard
30 A. Arena
16 L. Buffon
33 A. Calabresi
1 Nícolas
21 M. Solbakken
22 L. Loria
13 C. Sussi
27 A. Castellini

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,61
U ✓
3,02
B
2,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,28
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Maresca · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.