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Serie B
Referee: E Feliciani
Mantova
T T U T T
1–1
Full-time
Juve Stabia
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mantova Juve Stabia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 29%
21%
36%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
50%
54%
Both score Ø 56%
57%
54%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
6 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 4
21 Free kicks against 27
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mantova 17. · Juve Stabia 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 28 20 5 3 +34 65
2 Pisa 28 16 7 5 +18 55
3 Spezia 28 13 12 3 +22 51
4 Catanzaro 28 9 16 3 +9 43
5 Cremonese 28 11 9 8 +10 42
6 Cesena 28 11 7 10 +2 40
7 Juve Stabia 28 10 9 9 -1 39
8 Palermo 28 10 8 10 +6 38
9 Bari 28 8 14 6 +4 38
10 Modena 28 7 14 7 +2 35
11 Cittadella 28 9 7 12 -15 34
12 Carrarese 28 8 8 12 -9 32
13 Reggiana 29 7 10 12 -6 31
14 Brescia 28 6 12 10 -6 30
15 Sampdoria 28 6 12 10 -7 30
16 Sudtirol 28 8 6 14 -12 30
17 Mantova 28 6 11 11 -10 29
18 Cosenza 29 6 11 12 -12 29
19 Frosinone 28 5 12 11 -16 27
20 Salernitana 28 6 8 14 -13 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Aug -24 Juve Stabia – Mantova 1–0

Match report

Mantova Juve Stabia
43′
🟨 Marco Bellich
Half-time 0–0
Salvatore Burrai 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 D. Quaranta
↦ M. Bellich
51′
N. Mosti 0–1
L. Candellone
A. Debenedetti 🔁
↦ L. Mancuso
56′
F. Paoletti 🔁
↦ S. Burrai
57′
M. Aramu 🔁
↦ D. Bragantini
63′
A. Fiori 🔁
↦ S. Giordano
63′
70′
🔁 Y. Rocchetti
↦ R. Floriani Mussolini
76′
🔁 M. Baldi
↦ M. Ruggero
76′
🔁 D. Buglio
↦ G. Leone
S. De Maio 🔁
↦ T. Maggioni
78′
Marco Festa 🟨
80′
1–1 M. Solini
M. Aramu
80′
82′
🟨 Davide Buglio
83′
🔁 F. Maistro
↦ N. Mosti
84′
🟨 Niccolò Fortini
Antonio Fiori 🟨
85′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Mantova

4-4-2
1 M. Festa G
27 T. Maggioni D
29 S. Cella D
4 M. Solini D
26 S. Giordano D
17 N. Radaelli M
30 D. Bragantini M
8 S. Burrai M
21 S. Trimboli M
19 L. Mancuso F
7 D. Mensah F
Bench (12)
9 A. Debenedetti
36 F. Paoletti
70 M. Aramu
11 A. Fiori
87 S. De Maio
10 D. Wieser
12 L. Sonzogni
5 A. Redolfi
20 G. Fedel
14 F. Galuppini
24 F. Artioli
6 C. Bani

Coach: D. Possanzini

Juve Stabia

3-4-1-2
20 D. Thiam G
4 M. Ruggero D
45 P. Peda D
6 M. Bellich D
15 R. Floriani Mussolini M
55 G. Leone M
10 C. Pierobon M
29 N. Fortini M
98 N. Mosti F
27 L. Candellone F
11 K. Piscopo F
Bench (12)
2 D. Quaranta
3 Y. Rocchetti
13 M. Baldi
8 D. Buglio
37 F. Maistro
14 M. Meli
25 A. Gerbo
7 E. Dubickas
18 L. Sgarbi
17 G. Morachioli
80 A. Louati
1 K. Matošević

Coach: G. Pagliuca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,67
U ✓
3,01
B
2,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,31
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Feliciani · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.