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Serie B
Referee: M Monaldi
Sudtirol
U T S S T
2–1
Full-time
Sampdoria
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 26%
28%
24%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
60%
44%
Both score Ø 54%
52%
56%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
18 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 21
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sudtirol 19. · Sampdoria 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 25 18 4 3 +31 58
2 Pisa 25 15 6 4 +17 51
3 Spezia 25 13 10 2 +23 49
4 Cremonese 25 11 7 7 +11 40
5 Catanzaro 26 8 15 3 +8 39
6 Juve Stabia 25 9 9 7 -1 36
7 Bari 25 7 12 6 +3 33
8 Cesena 25 9 6 10 -1 33
9 Palermo 25 8 7 10 +2 31
10 Cittadella 26 8 7 11 -14 31
11 Modena 25 6 12 7 +0 30
12 Brescia 25 6 11 8 -3 29
13 Reggiana 25 7 7 11 -5 28
14 Sampdoria 25 6 10 9 -6 28
15 Mantova 25 6 10 9 -8 28
16 Carrarese 25 7 6 12 -10 27
17 Cosenza 25 5 10 10 -7 25
18 Salernitana 25 6 7 12 -10 25
19 Sudtirol 25 7 4 14 -13 25
20 Frosinone 25 4 10 11 -17 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sudtirol Sampdoria
1–0 S. Merkaj
S. Molina
6′
11′
G. Sibilli 1–1
Andrea Giorgini 🟨
32′
32′
🟨 M'Baye Niang
41′
🟨 Alex Ferrari
Half-time 1–1
R. Kofler 🔁
↦ A. Giorgini
46′
47′
🟨 Alex Ferrari
47′
🟥 Alex Ferrari
57′
🟨 Fabio Depaoli
60′
🔁 A. Bellemo
↦ M. Meulensteen
60′
🔁 G. Altare
↦ R. Oudin
J. Martini 🔁
↦ N. Pyyhtiä
69′
A. Barreca 🔁
↦ S. Davì
69′
Daniele Casiraghi 🟨
73′
Salvatore Molina 🟨
75′
75′
🟨 Fabio Depaoli
75′
🟥 Fabio Depaoli
M. Rover 🔁
↦ S. Molina
79′
80′
🔁 F. Abiuso
↦ M. Niang
80′
🔁 E. Akinsanmiro
↦ G. Sibilli
A. Mallamo 🔁
↦ M. Praszelik
84′
84′
🔁 M. Ricci
↦ A. Bellemo
Alessandro Mallamo ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
87′
2–1 D. Casiraghi
88′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sudtirol

3-5-2
31 M. Adamonis G
30 A. Giorgini D
19 N. Pietrangeli D
34 F. Veseli D
79 S. Molina M
18 N. Pyyhtiä M
99 M. Praszelik M
17 D. Casiraghi M
24 S. Davì M
33 S. Merkaj F
90 R. Odogwu F
Bench (12)
28 R. Kofler
6 J. Martini
3 A. Barreca
7 M. Rover
8 A. Mallamo
23 L. Ceppitelli
5 A. Masiello
9 G. Gori
2 H. El Kaouakibi
20 L. Belardinelli
16 E. Lamanna
4 T. Arrigoni

Coach: F. Castori

Sampdoria

3-4-2-1
94 A. Cragno G
2 M. Curto D
25 A. Ferrari D
5 A. Riccio D
23 F. Depaoli M
28 Gerard Yepes M
17 M. Meulensteen M
21 P. Beruatto M
20 R. Oudin F
33 G. Sibilli F
19 M. Niang F
Bench (12)
7 A. Bellemo
26 G. Altare
90 F. Abiuso
15 E. Akinsanmiro
8 M. Ricci
34 A. Krastev
18 L. Venuti
77 N. Chiorra
9 M. Coda
44 N. Ioannou
84 N. Sekulov
72 D. Veroli

Coach: L. Semplici

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,62
U
2,88
B
2,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,39
U2,5
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Monaldi · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.