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Eredivisie

Referee: A Lindhout

Waalwijk

T T U U T

0–4

Full-time

Utrecht

T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

0,7

2,3

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 29/30 matches

Win Ø 36%

14%

57%

Points per game

0,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

66%

63%

Both score Ø 63%

59%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,2

1,9

Conceded

2,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

0,82 xG 2,05

47% Possession 53%

13 Shots 20

2 Shots on target 9

4 Blocked shots 7

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Waalwijk 17. · Utrecht 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ajax	30	23	4	3	+36	+28.8	73
2	PSV Eindhoven	30	21	4	5	+55	+40.4	67
3	Feyenoord	29	17	8	4	+32	+24.2	59
4	Utrecht	30	17	8	5	+15	+2.9	59
5	Go Ahead Eagles	29	13	7	9	+6	+10.4	46
6	Twente	28	12	9	7	+11	+12.7	45
7	AZ Alkmaar	28	11	8	9	+5	+11.3	41
8	Heerenveen	29	10	7	12	-7	-2.2	37
9	Groningen	30	9	8	13	-13	-8.6	35
10	Heracles	30	8	11	11	-15	-15.5	35
11	Sparta Rotterdam	29	8	10	11	-3	+2.0	34
12	Nijmegen	28	9	6	13	+1	+1.4	33
13	For Sittard	29	9	6	14	-16	-7.4	33
14	NAC Breda	30	8	8	14	-18	-16.2	32
15	Zwolle	29	7	10	12	-9	-21.4	31
16	Willem II	29	6	6	17	-19	-25.4	24
17	Waalwijk	29	4	7	18	-23	-19.3	19
18	Almere City	30	4	7	19	-38	-18.0	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ajax	14	12	2	0	+25	+19.6	38
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	11	3	1	+34	+25.0	36
3	Go Ahead Eagles	15	9	4	2	+12	+13.8	31
4	Feyenoord	14	9	3	2	+15	+15.1	30
5	Heerenveen	15	8	6	1	+12	+7.6	30
6	Utrecht	16	9	2	5	+4	+6.6	29
7	Twente	14	8	4	2	+12	+12.0	28
8	Groningen	15	7	5	3	+8	+3.5	26
9	Heracles	15	6	7	2	+6	+4.4	25
10	NAC Breda	15	6	5	4	+1	+0.6	23
11	Zwolle	15	6	3	6	+2	-4.3	21
12	Nijmegen	15	5	5	5	+9	+6.6	20
13	AZ Alkmaar	13	5	3	5	+1	+10.6	18
14	Sparta Rotterdam	15	4	6	5	+0	+4.8	18
15	For Sittard	14	6	0	8	-9	+0.5	18
16	Willem II	15	3	3	9	-5	-10.7	12
17	Waalwijk	14	3	3	8	-6	-5.7	12
18	Almere City	14	2	3	9	-20	-2.0	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ajax	16	11	2	3	+11	+9.2	35
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	10	1	4	+21	+15.3	31
3	Utrecht	14	8	6	0	+11	-3.7	30
4	Feyenoord	15	8	5	2	+17	+9.1	29
5	AZ Alkmaar	15	6	5	4	+4	+0.7	23
6	Twente	14	4	5	5	-1	+0.7	17
7	Sparta Rotterdam	14	4	4	6	-3	-2.8	16
8	Go Ahead Eagles	14	4	3	7	-6	-3.3	15
9	For Sittard	15	3	6	6	-7	-7.9	15
10	Nijmegen	13	4	1	8	-8	-5.2	13
11	Willem II	14	3	3	8	-14	-14.6	12
12	Zwolle	14	1	7	6	-11	-17.1	10
13	Almere City	16	2	4	10	-18	-16.1	10
14	Heracles	15	2	4	9	-21	-20.0	10
15	NAC Breda	15	2	3	10	-19	-16.8	9
16	Groningen	15	2	3	10	-21	-12.1	9
17	Waalwijk	15	1	4	10	-17	-13.6	7
18	Heerenveen	14	2	1	11	-19	-9.8	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.