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2. Bundesliga

Referee: E Weisbach

Greuther Furth

T U T U T

0–1

Full-time

Ulm

U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Greuther Furth Ulm

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 24%

30%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

63%

43%

Both score Ø 59%

60%

57%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

15 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 4

3 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Greuther Furth 14. · Ulm 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Koln	30	16	6	8	+11	54
2	Hamburg	30	14	11	5	+27	53
3	Magdeburg	30	13	10	7	+16	49
4	Elversberg	30	13	9	8	+21	48
5	Paderborn	30	13	9	8	+10	48
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	30	13	9	8	+5	48
7	Kaiserslautern	30	13	7	10	+3	46
8	Nurnberg	30	13	5	12	+3	44
9	Karlsruhe	30	12	8	10	-2	44
10	Hannover	30	11	10	9	+3	43
11	Hertha	30	11	6	13	-1	39
12	Darmstadt	30	10	8	12	+4	38
13	Schalke 04	30	10	8	12	-4	38
14	Greuther Furth	30	9	8	13	-13	35
15	Braunschweig	30	8	9	13	-20	33
16	Preußen Münster	30	6	10	14	-10	28
17	Ulm	30	5	11	14	-7	26
18	Regensburg	30	6	4	20	-46	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	15	7	7	1	+20	28
2	Elversberg	16	8	3	5	+11	27
3	FC Koln	15	8	3	4	+11	27
4	Hannover	15	7	6	2	+7	27
5	Karlsruhe	15	8	3	4	+4	27
6	Kaiserslautern	15	7	5	3	+10	26
7	Nurnberg	15	8	2	5	+5	26
8	Darmstadt	15	7	4	4	+11	25
9	Paderborn	15	7	2	6	+6	23
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	6	4	5	+0	22
11	Braunschweig	15	6	4	5	-1	22
12	Schalke 04	15	6	3	6	-1	21
13	Regensburg	15	6	3	6	-5	21
14	Greuther Furth	15	5	5	5	-4	20
15	Magdeburg	15	4	7	4	+2	19
16	Ulm	15	4	4	7	+0	16
17	Preußen Münster	15	3	6	6	-2	15
18	Hertha	14	3	3	8	-5	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	15	9	3	3	+14	30
2	Hertha	16	8	3	5	+4	27
3	FC Koln	15	8	3	4	+0	27
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	7	5	3	+5	26
5	Hamburg	15	7	4	4	+7	25
6	Paderborn	15	6	7	2	+4	25
7	Elversberg	14	5	6	3	+10	21
8	Kaiserslautern	15	6	2	7	-7	20
9	Nurnberg	15	5	3	7	-2	18
10	Schalke 04	15	4	5	6	-3	17
11	Karlsruhe	15	4	5	6	-6	17
12	Hannover	15	4	4	7	-4	16
13	Greuther Furth	15	4	3	8	-9	15
14	Darmstadt	15	3	4	8	-7	13
15	Preußen Münster	15	3	4	8	-8	13
16	Braunschweig	15	2	5	8	-19	11
17	Ulm	15	1	7	7	-7	10
18	Regensburg	15	0	1	14	-41	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.