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Championship
Referee: J Gillett
Stoke
U U S S T
0–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stoke Sheffield United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 44/41 matches
Win Ø 44%
27%
61%
Points per game
1,1
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
39%
37%
Both score Ø 43%
48%
37%
Average goals
2,4
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,73 xG 2,08
51% Possession 49%
10 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stoke 17. · Sheffield United 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leeds 44 27 13 4 +60 +53.7 94
2 Burnley 44 26 16 2 +46 +18.1 94
3 Sheffield United 41 25 6 10 +23 +13.9 81
4 Sunderland 41 21 12 8 +21 +12.4 75
5 Bristol City 42 17 15 10 +9 +3.8 66
6 Middlesbrough 44 18 9 17 +10 +10.8 63
7 Millwall 44 17 12 15 -1 +3.1 63
8 Blackburn 44 18 8 18 +4 -2.1 62
9 Coventry 42 18 8 16 +2 +17.3 62
10 West Brom 44 14 18 12 +8 +10.9 60
11 Swansea 44 17 9 18 -4 +2.1 60
12 Watford 44 16 8 20 -7 -9.8 56
13 Sheffield Weds 44 15 11 18 -9 -1.1 56
14 Norwich 44 13 14 17 +1 +7.9 53
15 QPR 44 13 14 17 -6 -6.4 53
16 Portsmouth 44 14 10 20 -13 -9.9 52
17 Stoke 44 12 14 18 -15 -18.5 50
18 Preston 44 10 19 15 -10 -6.9 49
19 Oxford 44 12 13 19 -18 -26.6 49
20 Hull 44 12 12 20 -9 -5.4 48
21 Derby 44 12 10 22 -9 -6.4 46
22 Luton 44 12 10 22 -23 -7.5 46
23 Cardiff 44 9 16 19 -23 -14.6 43
24 Plymouth 44 10 13 21 -37 -38.8 43

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stoke Sheffield United
Ben Pearson 🟨
22′
25′
🟨 Tyrese Campbell
B. Lawal 🔁
↦ B. Pearson
33′
38′
S. McCallum 0–1
Half-time 0–1
51′
🟨 Sam McCallum
Ben Wilmot 🟨
56′
Viktor Johansson 🟨
58′
65′
🔁 S. Peck
↦ F. Seriki
65′
🔁 H. Burrows
↦ S. McCallum
65′
🔁 T. Cannon
↦ T. Campbell
Ali Al Hamadi 🔁
↦ Bae Jun-Ho
72′
J. Wilson-Esbrand 🔁
↦ J. Tchamadeu
86′
L. Koumas 🔁
↦ M. Manhoef
86′
86′
🔁 A. Brooks
↦ R. Brewster
87′
A. Brooks 0–2
S. Peck
90′
🔁 A. Ahmedhodžić
↦ C. OHare
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Stoke

4-2-3-1
1 V. Johansson G
22 J. Tchamadeu D
26 A. Phillips D
16 B. Wilmot D
2 L. Gooch D
4 B. Pearson M
6 W. Burger M
42 M. Manhoef M
8 L. Baker M
10 Bae Jun-Ho M
20 S. Gallagher F
Bench (9)
18 B. Lawal
9 Ali Al Hamadi
33 J. Wilson-Esbrand
11 L. Koumas
12 T. Seko
24 A. Moran
35 N. Lowe
13 J. Bonham
23 B. Gibson

Coach: M. Robins

Sheffield United

4-4-2
1 M. Cooper G
38 F. Seriki D
5 R. Holding D
19 J. Robinson D
3 S. McCallum D
7 R. Brewster M
21 Vinicius Souza M
24 H. Choudhury M
10 C. O'Hare M
23 T. Campbell F
9 K. Moore F
Bench (9)
42 S. Peck
14 H. Burrows
28 T. Cannon
35 A. Brooks
15 A. Ahmedhodžić
17 A. Davies
39 R. Oné
2 A. Gilchrist
29 J. Cáceres

Coach: C. Wilder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,44
U
3,27
B ✓
2,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,14
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Gillett · 178 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.