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Serie B

Referee: F Dionisi

Cremonese

S S U S U

4–2

Full-time

Mantova

U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Mantova

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

2,3

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

This season — Serie B · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 33%

42%

24%

Points per game

1,6

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

55%

52%

Both score Ø 63%

64%

61%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,6

1,2

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%

17 Shots 11

9 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 3

0 Offside 4

26 Free kicks against 17

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cremonese 4. · Mantova 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	33	23	6	4	+39	75
2	Pisa	34	20	7	7	+24	67
3	Spezia	34	15	15	4	+24	60
4	Cremonese	33	14	11	8	+16	53
5	Juve Stabia	33	13	11	9	+2	50
6	Catanzaro	33	10	18	5	+8	48
7	Palermo	33	12	9	12	+7	45
8	Bari	34	9	17	8	+3	44
9	Modena	34	10	14	10	+1	44
10	Cesena	33	11	11	11	+1	44
11	Carrarese	34	10	11	13	-8	41
12	Frosinone	34	8	15	11	-11	39
13	Mantova	33	8	13	12	-9	37
14	Salernitana	34	9	9	16	-11	36
15	Cittadella	34	9	9	16	-22	36
16	Brescia	34	7	14	13	-8	35
17	Sudtirol	33	9	8	16	-11	35
18	Sampdoria	34	7	14	13	-12	35
19	Reggiana	34	8	11	15	-12	35
20	Cosenza	34	6	13	15	-21	31

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	16	13	2	1	+27	41
2	Pisa	16	11	3	2	+17	36
3	Spezia	16	10	4	2	+16	34
4	Carrarese	18	9	5	4	+5	32
5	Juve Stabia	16	9	3	4	+6	30
6	Catanzaro	17	7	8	2	+12	29
7	Cesena	17	7	7	3	+7	28
8	Salernitana	18	8	4	6	+3	28
9	Bari	18	6	9	3	+4	27
10	Palermo	16	7	4	5	+6	25
11	Cremonese	17	6	7	4	+5	25
12	Modena	16	6	7	3	+5	25
13	Mantova	16	6	6	4	+1	24
14	Reggiana	18	5	6	7	-3	21
15	Sampdoria	17	5	6	6	-3	21
16	Frosinone	18	4	9	5	-6	21
17	Cosenza	17	4	7	6	-7	19
18	Sudtirol	16	4	6	6	-5	18
19	Brescia	17	3	8	6	-2	17
20	Cittadella	16	2	7	7	-10	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	17	10	4	3	+12	34
2	Pisa	18	9	4	5	+7	31
3	Cremonese	16	8	4	4	+11	28
4	Spezia	18	5	11	2	+8	26
5	Cittadella	18	7	2	9	-12	23
6	Palermo	17	5	5	7	+1	20
7	Juve Stabia	17	4	8	5	-4	20
8	Modena	18	4	7	7	-4	19
9	Catanzaro	16	3	10	3	-4	19
10	Frosinone	16	4	6	6	-5	18
11	Brescia	17	4	6	7	-6	18
12	Bari	16	3	8	5	-1	17
13	Sudtirol	17	5	2	10	-6	17
14	Cesena	16	4	4	8	-6	16
15	Sampdoria	17	2	8	7	-9	14
16	Reggiana	16	3	5	8	-9	14
17	Mantova	17	2	7	8	-10	13
18	Cosenza	17	2	6	9	-14	12
19	Carrarese	16	1	6	9	-13	9
20	Salernitana	16	1	5	10	-14	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.