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Bundesliga
Referee: J Spurny
Hartberg
T S T U S
1–1
Full-time
Grazer AK
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg Grazer AK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,3
1,3
Scored
1,7
0,2
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 23%
30%
15%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
52%
59%
Both score Ø 59%
59%
59%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

65% Possession 35%
11 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
3 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hartberg 8. · Grazer AK 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 27 17 5 5 +27 56
2 Austria Vienna 27 16 5 6 +16 53
3 Salzburg 27 13 9 5 +15 48
4 LASK 27 14 4 9 +8 46
5 Wolfsberger AC 27 13 6 8 +19 45
6 SK Rapid 27 10 7 10 +1 37
7 BW Linz 27 11 3 13 -4 36
8 Hartberg 27 8 9 10 -4 33
9 Tirol 27 6 8 13 -12 26
10 A. Klagenfurt 27 6 7 14 -27 25
11 Grazer AK 27 4 9 14 -21 21
12 Altach 27 4 8 15 -18 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.