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Serie B
Referee: D Ghersini
Catanzaro
T T T S S
2–0
Full-time
Pisa
T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Catanzaro Pisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 40%
53%
27%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
67%
40%
Both score Ø 57%
53%
60%
Average goals
2,9
1,9
Scored
1,6
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%
8 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 6
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Catanzaro 6. · Pisa 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 15 10 3 2 +16 33
2 Venezia 16 10 3 3 +12 33
3 Cremonese 16 8 5 3 +10 29
4 Como 15 8 4 3 +4 28
5 Cittadella 16 8 4 4 +2 28
6 Catanzaro 15 8 3 4 +5 27
7 Modena 15 7 5 3 +2 26
8 Palermo 15 7 3 5 +7 24
9 Sampdoria 16 6 3 7 -1 21
10 Bari 16 4 9 3 -1 21
11 Cosenza 16 5 4 7 -1 19
12 Brescia 15 4 6 5 -1 18
13 Pisa 15 4 6 5 -1 18
14 Sudtirol 16 4 5 7 -1 17
15 Reggiana 15 3 7 5 -4 16
16 Lecco 16 4 4 8 -9 16
17 Ternana 16 3 5 8 -3 14
18 Ascoli 16 3 4 9 -7 13
19 Spezia 16 2 7 7 -9 13
20 FeralpiSalo 16 1 4 11 -20 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Catanzaro Pisa
Luka Krajnc 🟨
33′
36′
🟨 Simone Canestrelli
Half-time 0–0
G. Ambrosino 🔁
↦ P. Iemmello
52′
1–0 G. Ambrosino
J. Vandeputte
53′
Giuseppe Ambrosino 🟨
54′
63′
🔁 S. Moreo
↦ E. Gliozzi
63′
🔁 T. Barbieri
↦ P. Beruatto
63′
🔁 A. Arena
↦ M. Valoti
M. Stoppa 🔁
↦ T. Biasci
72′
L. Verna 🔁
↦ M. Pompetti
72′
73′
🔁 E. Vignato
↦ J. Mlakar
81′
🔁 G. Masucci
↦ L. Tramoni
1–1 M. Marin
own goal
82′
Luca Verna 🟨
84′
84′
🟨 Gabriele Piccinini
S. Pontisso 🔁
↦ A. Ghion
86′
A. Oliveri 🔁
↦ D. Sounas
86′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Catanzaro

4-4-2
1 A. Fulignati G
77 P. Katseris D
14 S. Scognamillo D
23 N. Brighenti D
32 L. Krajnc D
24 D. Sounas M
21 M. Pompetti M
18 A. Ghion M
27 J. Vandeputte M
9 P. Iemmello F
28 T. Biasci F
Bench (11)
70 G. Ambrosino
19 M. Stoppa
8 L. Verna
20 S. Pontisso
33 A. Oliveri
7 L. D'Andrea
17 E. Brignola
44 K. Miranda
5 D. Krastev
16 A. Sala
22 E. Borrelli

Coach: V. Vivarini

Pisa

4-2-3-1
1 Nícolas G
19 Tomás Esteves D
6 H. Hermannsson D
5 S. Canestrelli D
20 P. Beruatto D
36 G. Piccinini M
8 M. Marin M
7 L. Tramoni M
27 M. Valoti M
17 J. Mlakar M
9 E. Gliozzi F
Bench (12)
32 S. Moreo
42 T. Barbieri
28 A. Arena
23 E. Vignato
26 G. Masucci
77 M. D'Alessandro
16 Á. Nagy
51 A. Barberis
44 Miguel Veloso
3 M. Leverbe
22 L. Loria
4 A. Caracciolo

Coach: A. Aquilani

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,28
U
3,18
B
3,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,21
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Ghersini · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.