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2. Bundesliga

Hamburg

U S S S U

2–3

Full-time

Werder Bremen

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Werder Bremen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

2,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,8

Scored

2,0

2,7

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 48%

43%

52%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

48%

74%

Both score Ø 66%

70%

61%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,8

1,9

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

13 Shots 15

8 Shots on target 6

2 Corners 4

9 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 4. · Werder Bremen 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	24	13	5	6	+19	44
2	St Pauli	24	13	5	6	+13	44
3	Werder Bremen	23	12	6	5	+13	42
4	Hamburg	23	10	11	2	+21	41
5	Schalke 04	24	12	5	7	+18	41
6	Nurnberg	24	11	6	7	+2	39
7	Heidenheim	23	11	5	7	+0	38
8	Paderborn	24	8	9	7	+8	33
9	Karlsruhe	24	8	9	7	+5	33
10	Regensburg	23	9	4	10	+5	31
11	Holstein Kiel	24	8	7	9	-8	31
12	Hannover	24	8	7	9	-9	31
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	23	7	5	11	-4	26
14	Dresden	24	7	5	12	-9	26
15	Hansa Rostock	24	6	7	11	-11	25
16	Sandhausen	23	6	7	10	-15	25
17	Erzgebirge Aue	24	3	7	14	-25	16
18	Ingolstadt	24	3	6	15	-23	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	11	8	2	1	+16	26
2	Hamburg	12	6	6	0	+13	24
3	Heidenheim	11	7	3	1	+8	24
4	Schalke 04	12	7	2	3	+12	23
5	Darmstadt	11	6	2	3	+10	20
6	Karlsruhe	13	5	5	3	+6	20
7	Nurnberg	12	6	2	4	+3	20
8	Werder Bremen	11	5	4	2	+9	19
9	Regensburg	12	5	2	5	+5	17
10	Dresden	12	5	2	5	+2	17
11	Holstein Kiel	12	5	2	5	-4	17
12	Hannover	12	4	4	4	-3	16
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	3	4	5	+0	13
14	Paderborn	13	2	5	6	-3	11
15	Hansa Rostock	12	2	3	7	-9	9
16	Erzgebirge Aue	12	2	2	8	-13	8
17	Ingolstadt	12	1	4	7	-10	7
18	Sandhausen	11	1	4	6	-13	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	13	7	3	3	+9	24
2	Werder Bremen	12	7	2	3	+4	23
3	Paderborn	11	6	4	1	+11	22
4	Nurnberg	12	5	4	3	-1	19
5	Schalke 04	12	5	3	4	+6	18
6	Sandhausen	12	5	3	4	-2	18
7	St Pauli	13	5	3	5	-3	18
8	Hamburg	11	4	5	2	+8	17
9	Hansa Rostock	12	4	4	4	-2	16
10	Hannover	12	4	3	5	-6	15
11	Regensburg	11	4	2	5	+0	14
12	Holstein Kiel	12	3	5	4	-4	14
13	Heidenheim	12	4	2	6	-8	14
14	Karlsruhe	11	3	4	4	-1	13
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	4	1	6	-4	13
16	Dresden	12	2	3	7	-11	9
17	Erzgebirge Aue	12	1	5	6	-12	8
18	Ingolstadt	12	2	2	8	-13	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.