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LaLiga2
Sp Gijon
U S T T S
2–3
Full-time
Ponferradina
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Ponferradina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 39%
33%
44%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
37%
44%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

21 Shots 11
11 Shots on target 4
9 Corners 4
11 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Gijon 13. · Ponferradina 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 28 16 8 4 +13 56
2 Almeria 27 16 4 7 +21 52
3 Tenerife 28 15 7 6 +20 52
4 Valladolid 28 15 7 6 +13 52
5 Ponferradina 27 12 8 7 +6 44
6 Girona 28 12 6 10 +7 42
7 Oviedo 28 9 14 5 +5 41
8 Las Palmas 28 10 9 9 +1 39
9 Cartagena 28 12 3 13 -3 39
10 Burgos 28 11 5 12 +5 38
11 Ibiza 28 9 11 8 +3 38
12 Lugo 27 7 15 5 +3 36
13 Sp Gijon 27 9 8 10 -1 35
14 Huesca 27 8 10 9 +6 34
15 Leganes 27 8 9 10 -3 33
16 Zaragoza 28 6 15 7 -6 33
17 Malaga 28 8 8 12 -18 32
18 Mirandes 27 8 6 13 -9 30
19 Amorebieta 27 4 14 9 -7 26
20 Fuenlabrada 28 4 14 10 -11 26
21 Sociedad B 28 5 8 15 -12 23
22 Alcorcon 28 2 7 19 -33 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,06
U
3,22
B ✓
3,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,38
U2,5
1,55
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.