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Bundesliga

Referee: M Schüttengruber

Sturm Graz

S U S U U

3–0

Full-time

Hartberg

S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Hartberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 35%

45%

25%

Points per game

1,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

80%

45%

Both score Ø 70%

70%

Average goals

3,6

3,0

Scored

2,1

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

14 Shots 2

6 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 3. · Hartberg 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	20	16	3	1	+33	51
2	Wolfsberger AC	20	10	4	6	+2	34
3	Sturm Graz	20	9	6	5	+11	33
4	A. Klagenfurt	20	7	8	5	+1	29
5	Austria Vienna	20	6	9	5	+6	27
6	Ried	20	7	6	7	-10	27
7	SK Rapid	20	6	7	7	-1	25
8	LASK	20	6	6	8	+0	24
9	Hartberg	20	5	7	8	-2	22
10	Admira	21	4	8	9	-5	20
11	Tirol	20	4	8	8	-11	20
12	Altach	21	3	4	14	-24	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	10	9	1	0	+24	28
2	Ried	10	6	4	0	+6	22
3	Wolfsberger AC	10	6	1	3	+5	19
4	A. Klagenfurt	10	4	5	1	+2	17
5	Sturm Graz	10	4	4	2	+4	16
6	SK Rapid	10	5	1	4	+4	16
7	Austria Vienna	10	3	5	2	+4	14
8	Tirol	10	2	6	2	+3	12
9	LASK	10	3	3	4	+0	12
10	Hartberg	10	2	4	4	-3	10
11	Admira	10	2	2	6	-2	8
12	Altach	11	1	2	8	-15	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	10	7	2	1	+9	23
2	Sturm Graz	10	5	2	3	+7	17
3	Wolfsberger AC	10	4	3	3	-3	15
4	Austria Vienna	10	3	4	3	+2	13
5	Hartberg	10	3	3	4	+1	12
6	LASK	10	3	3	4	+0	12
7	A. Klagenfurt	10	3	3	4	-1	12
8	Admira	11	2	6	3	-3	12
9	SK Rapid	10	1	6	3	-5	9
10	Altach	10	2	2	6	-9	8
11	Tirol	10	2	2	6	-14	8
12	Ried	10	1	2	7	-16	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.