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Ligue 1
Referee: T Léonard
Angers
S T T T T
1–2
Full-time
Lens
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Lens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 34%
28%
40%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
48%
56%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
13 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 14. · Lens 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 26 19 5 2 +33 62
2 Nice 26 14 5 7 +16 47
3 Marseille 25 13 7 5 +15 46
4 Rennes 26 13 4 9 +26 43
5 Strasbourg 26 12 7 7 +17 43
6 Lyon 25 10 9 6 +3 39
7 Monaco 26 10 8 8 +10 38
8 Nantes 25 11 5 9 +5 38
9 Lens 25 10 7 8 +4 37
10 Montpellier 26 11 4 11 +3 37
11 Lille 25 9 9 7 -3 36
12 Brest 25 8 8 9 -3 32
13 Reims 26 7 10 9 +0 31
14 Angers 25 7 8 10 -6 29
15 Clermont 25 7 6 12 -15 27
16 St Etienne 26 5 7 14 -23 22
17 Troyes 25 5 6 14 -18 21
18 Lorient 25 4 9 12 -19 21
19 Metz 25 4 9 12 -20 21
20 Bordeaux 25 4 9 12 -25 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Lens
31′
🟨 Cheick Doucouré
40′
🟨 Kevin Danso
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Fulgini
S. Boufal
49′
Batista Mendy 🟨
58′
Mohamed-Ali Cho 🟨
60′
Mohamed-Ali Cho 🟨
69′
Mohamed-Ali Cho 🟥
69′
Sofiane Boufal 🟨
72′
73′
B. Mendy 2–0
own goal
74′
🔁 I. Ganago
↦ G. Kakuta
74′
🔁 P. Frankowski
↦ M. Haïdara
76′
J. Clauss 2–1
K. Danso
A. Ounahi 🔁
↦ N. Bentaleb
80′
84′
🔁 David Costa
↦ A. Kalimuendo-Muinga
M. Jakoliš 🔁
↦ B. Mendy
87′
89′
🟨 Przemysław Frankowski
S. Bahoken 🔁
↦ A. Fulgini
89′
C. Ninga 🔁
↦ S. Boufal
89′
P. Capelle 🔁
↦ Mathias Lage
90′
94′
🔁 P. Berg
↦ S. Fofana
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Angers

3-5-2
30 D. Petković G
8 I. Traoré D
3 S. Doumbia M
6 E. Ebosse D
2 B. Mendy D
5 T. Mangani M
23 N. Bentaleb M
7 S. Boufal F
10 A. Fulgini M
27 Mathias Lage M
21 M. Cho F
Bench (9)
18 A. Ounahi
22 M. Jakoliš
19 S. Bahoken
9 C. Ninga
15 P. Capelle
25 A. Bamba
29 V. Manceau
16 A. Mandrea
24 R. Thomas

Coach: G. Baticle

Lens

3-5-1-1
16 J. Leca G
21 M. Haïdara M
11 J. Clauss M
24 J. Gradit D
4 K. Danso D
14 F. Medina D
10 G. Kakuta F
8 S. Fofana M
28 C. Doucouré M
7 F. Sotoca M
15 A. Kalimuendo-Muinga F
Bench (9)
9 I. Ganago
29 P. Frankowski
20 David Costa
6 P. Berg
3 D. Machado
33 I. Baldé
18 Y. Cahuzac
5 C. Wooh
1 W. Fariñez

Coach: F. Haise

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,94
U
3,17
B ✓
2,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,10
U2,5
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Léonard · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.