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LaLiga2

Referee: Dámaso Arcediano

Burgos

S T U S T

4–2

Full-time

Alcorcon

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burgos Alcorcon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 29%

36%

21%

Points per game

1,2

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

57%

36%

Both score Ø 47%

50%

43%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

49% Possession 51%

15 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 2

3 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Burgos 15. · Alcorcon 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leganes	15	11	1	3	+19	34
2	Sp Gijon	15	8	4	3	+10	28
3	Valladolid	15	9	1	5	+3	28
4	Eibar	14	8	2	4	+8	26
5	Ferrol	15	7	5	3	+3	26
6	Espanol	14	7	3	4	+8	24
7	Levante	15	6	6	3	+3	24
8	Tenerife	14	7	2	5	+2	23
9	Elche	15	6	5	4	-1	23
10	Zaragoza	15	6	4	5	+2	22
11	Santander	15	6	3	6	+1	21
12	Eldense	14	5	4	5	-2	19
13	Oviedo	14	4	6	4	+4	18
14	Mirandes	15	5	3	7	-2	18
15	Burgos	14	5	2	7	-4	17
16	Andorra	14	5	1	8	-5	16
17	Albacete	14	4	4	6	-6	16
18	Villarreal B	14	3	4	7	-6	13
19	Alcorcon	14	3	4	7	-9	13
20	Huesca	14	2	6	6	-5	12
21	Amorebieta	15	2	5	8	-10	11
22	Cartagena	14	1	3	10	-13	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leganes	8	6	1	1	+12	19
2	Valladolid	8	6	1	1	+9	19
3	Sp Gijon	7	5	2	0	+9	17
4	Burgos	7	5	2	0	+8	17
5	Elche	8	5	2	1	+5	17
6	Santander	8	5	1	2	+7	16
7	Tenerife	7	5	1	1	+6	16
8	Ferrol	7	4	3	0	+5	15
9	Espanol	7	4	2	1	+7	14
10	Eibar	6	4	1	1	+9	13
11	Andorra	7	4	1	2	+4	13
12	Albacete	8	3	3	2	+1	12
13	Levante	7	3	3	1	+1	12
14	Oviedo	6	3	2	1	+5	11
15	Eldense	7	3	2	2	+2	11
16	Zaragoza	8	3	2	3	+1	11
17	Mirandes	8	3	1	4	+0	10
18	Villarreal B	7	3	1	3	-1	10
19	Amorebieta	7	2	3	2	+3	9
20	Alcorcon	7	1	2	4	-5	5
21	Huesca	7	0	3	4	-5	3
22	Cartagena	7	0	0	7	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leganes	7	5	0	2	+7	15
2	Eibar	8	4	1	3	-1	13
3	Levante	8	3	3	2	+2	12
4	Sp Gijon	8	3	2	3	+1	11
5	Zaragoza	7	3	2	2	+1	11
6	Ferrol	8	3	2	3	-2	11
7	Espanol	7	3	1	3	+1	10
8	Huesca	7	2	3	2	+0	9
9	Valladolid	7	3	0	4	-6	9
10	Mirandes	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Alcorcon	7	2	2	3	-4	8
12	Eldense	7	2	2	3	-4	8
13	Oviedo	8	1	4	3	-1	7
14	Tenerife	7	2	1	4	-4	7
15	Cartagena	7	1	3	3	-2	6
16	Elche	7	1	3	3	-6	6
17	Santander	7	1	2	4	-6	5
18	Albacete	6	1	1	4	-7	4
19	Villarreal B	7	0	3	4	-5	3
20	Andorra	7	1	0	6	-9	3
21	Amorebieta	8	0	2	6	-13	2
22	Burgos	7	0	0	7	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.