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Premier League
Referee: David Coote
Burnley
S T U T U
2–0
Full-time
Norwich
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burnley Norwich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
4,0
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — Premier League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
60%
80%
Both score Ø 70%
60%
80%
Average goals
2,6
4,2
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,4
2,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

41% Possession 59%
13 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burnley 14. · Norwich 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 5 5 0 0 +11 15
2 Leicester 6 3 2 1 +3 11
3 Man City 5 3 1 1 +10 10
4 Bournemouth 6 3 1 2 +1 10
5 Tottenham 6 2 2 2 +4 8
6 Man United 5 2 2 1 +4 8
7 Chelsea 5 2 2 1 +0 8
8 Arsenal 5 2 2 1 +0 8
9 West Ham 5 2 2 1 -1 8
10 Everton 5 2 1 2 -2 7
11 Southampton 6 2 1 3 -3 7
12 Crystal Palace 5 2 1 2 -3 7
13 Norwich 5 2 0 3 -3 6
14 Burnley 5 1 2 2 -1 5
15 Sheffield United 5 1 2 2 -1 5
16 Brighton 5 1 2 2 -3 5
17 Aston Villa 5 1 1 3 -2 4
18 Newcastle 5 1 1 3 -4 4
19 Wolves 5 0 3 2 -4 3
20 Watford 5 0 2 3 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burnley Norwich
1–0 C. Wood
A. Westwood
10′
13′
🔁 M. Leitner
↦ A. Tettey
2–0 C. Wood
D. McNeil
14′
33′
🟨 Ibrahim Amadou
Half-time 2–0
75′
🔁 J. Drmic
↦ M. Stiepermann
J. Rodriguez 🔁
↦ A. Barnes
79′
A. Lennon 🔁
↦ D. McNeil
79′
90′
🔁 P. Roberts
↦ T. Cantwell
R. Brady 🔁
↦ J. Hendrick
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Burnley

4-4-2
1 N. Pope G
23 E. Pieters D
2 M. Lowton D
6 B. Mee D
5 J. Tarkowski D
4 J. Cork M
18 A. Westwood M
13 J. Hendrick M
10 A. Barnes F
9 C. Wood F
11 D. McNeil M
Bench (7)
19 J. Rodriguez
25 A. Lennon
12 R. Brady
20 J. Hart
3 C. Taylor
28 K. Long
27 M. Vydra

Coach: S. Dyche

Norwich

4-2-3-1
1 T. Krul G
4 B. Godfrey D
3 S. Byram D
12 J. Lewis D
27 A. Tettey M
18 M. Stiepermann M
23 K. McLean M
24 I. Amadou D
17 E. Buendía M
14 T. Cantwell M
22 T. Pukki F
Bench (7)
10 M. Leitner
20 J. Drmic
7 P. Roberts
16 P. Heise
5 G. Hanley
33 M. McGovern
32 D. Srbeny

Coach: D. Farke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,99
U
3,76
B
3,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,67
U2,5 ✓
2,22
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

David Coote · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.