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Superligaen

Referee: M Kristoffersen

Aarhus

T U S T S

4–0

Full-time

Aalborg

U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Aalborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 18/17 matches

Win Ø 34%

44%

24%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

44%

59%

Both score Ø 51%

61%

41%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,9

1,1

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,95 xG 0,22

48% Possession 52%

23 Shots 2

10 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

7 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 6

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aarhus 3. · Aalborg 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	18	10	6	2	+14	+9.6	36
2	Midtjylland	18	11	3	4	+10	+2.2	36
3	Aarhus	18	8	7	3	+16	+5.0	31
4	Randers FC	19	8	7	4	+11	+9.5	31
5	Brondby	18	8	6	4	+12	+8.1	30
6	Silkeborg	18	6	8	4	+5	-1.2	26
7	Nordsjaelland	17	7	5	5	+1	+4.8	26
8	Viborg	18	5	6	7	-1	-3.7	21
9	Aalborg	17	4	5	8	-13	-11.1	17
10	Sonderjyske	18	4	4	10	-19	-10.9	16
11	Lyngby	19	1	8	10	-13	-4.0	11
12	Vejle	18	2	3	13	-23	-8.4	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	9	8	0	1	+8	+4.5	24
2	FC Copenhagen	9	6	3	0	+10	+6.5	21
3	Aarhus	9	5	4	0	+12	+3.3	19
4	Nordsjaelland	9	5	4	0	+9	+5.0	19
5	Brondby	9	5	3	1	+8	+4.4	18
6	Silkeborg	10	4	4	2	+3	-0.7	16
7	Randers FC	9	4	2	3	+5	+6.0	14
8	Viborg	8	4	2	2	+3	-2.2	14
9	Aalborg	8	3	2	3	-5	-4.4	11
10	Sonderjyske	9	2	3	4	-9	-6.8	9
11	Lyngby	10	1	5	4	-6	-0.6	8
12	Vejle	9	1	2	6	-11	-0.9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Randers FC	10	4	5	1	+6	+3.4	17
2	FC Copenhagen	9	4	3	2	+4	+3.1	15
3	Brondby	9	3	3	3	+4	+3.6	12
4	Aarhus	9	3	3	3	+4	+1.7	12
5	Midtjylland	9	3	3	3	+2	-2.2	12
6	Silkeborg	8	2	4	2	+2	-0.5	10
7	Viborg	10	1	4	5	-4	-1.5	7
8	Nordsjaelland	8	2	1	5	-8	-0.2	7
9	Sonderjyske	9	2	1	6	-10	-4.0	7
10	Aalborg	9	1	3	5	-8	-6.7	6
11	Vejle	9	1	1	7	-12	-7.5	4
12	Lyngby	9	0	3	6	-7	-3.3	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.