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Bundesliga

Referee: A Sadikovski

Sturm Graz

T T S U T

2–1

Full-time

BW Linz

T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz BW Linz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 50%

61%

39%

Points per game

2,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

72%

56%

Both score Ø 56%

56%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

2,3

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

55% Possession 45%

19 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 2

3 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 1. · BW Linz 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	18	11	4	3	+21	37
2	Austria Vienna	19	11	4	4	+12	37
3	Wolfsberger AC	19	10	3	6	+13	33
4	Salzburg	19	8	7	4	+8	31
5	SK Rapid	18	7	7	4	+2	28
6	BW Linz	18	7	3	8	-3	24
7	LASK	18	6	4	8	-2	22
8	Hartberg	18	5	7	6	-2	22
9	A. Klagenfurt	19	5	5	9	-19	20
10	Tirol	19	4	7	8	-7	19
11	Grazer AK	19	3	7	9	-13	16
12	Altach	18	3	4	11	-10	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Austria Vienna	10	8	1	1	+12	25
2	Sturm Graz	9	6	2	1	+17	20
3	SK Rapid	9	6	1	2	+5	19
4	Salzburg	9	5	3	1	+13	18
5	Wolfsberger AC	10	5	2	3	+7	17
6	BW Linz	9	5	0	4	+3	15
7	Hartberg	9	3	4	2	+2	13
8	A. Klagenfurt	9	3	3	3	-1	12
9	Tirol	10	1	6	3	-4	9
10	LASK	9	2	2	5	-3	8
11	Grazer AK	9	1	4	4	-5	7
12	Altach	9	1	3	5	-3	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	9	5	2	2	+4	17
2	Wolfsberger AC	9	5	1	3	+6	16
3	LASK	9	4	2	3	+1	14
4	Salzburg	10	3	4	3	-5	13
5	Austria Vienna	9	3	3	3	+0	12
6	Tirol	9	3	1	5	-3	10
7	SK Rapid	9	1	6	2	-3	9
8	Hartberg	9	2	3	4	-4	9
9	BW Linz	9	2	3	4	-6	9
10	Grazer AK	10	2	3	5	-8	9
11	A. Klagenfurt	10	2	2	6	-18	8
12	Altach	9	2	1	6	-7	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.