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Allsvenskan

Referee: G Nyberg

Malmo FF

S T S S T

1–0

Full-time

Elfsborg

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Elfsborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

2,0

2,2

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 68%

66%

69%

Points per game

2,1

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

69%

59%

Both score Ø 43%

45%

41%

Average goals

3,0

2,9

Scored

2,1

2,0

Conceded

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,88 xG 0,31

64% Possession 36%

12 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 0

4 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 3

0 Offside 4

15 Free kicks against 11

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malmo FF 2. · Elfsborg 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	29	20	4	5	+34	+6.6	64
2	Malmo FF	29	19	4	6	+34	+10.4	61
3	Hacken	29	18	3	8	+31	+7.7	57
4	Djurgarden	29	15	5	9	+6	+2.6	50
5	Varnamo	29	14	3	12	+5	+0.8	45
6	Hammarby	29	11	10	8	+2	+1.3	43
7	Kalmar	29	12	6	11	-6	-5.4	42
8	Norrkoping	29	12	5	12	+2	+3.2	41
9	Sirius	29	11	6	12	+5	+7.9	39
10	Mjallby	29	11	5	13	-3	-2.9	38
11	Halmstad	29	9	8	12	-14	-5.2	35
12	AIK	29	8	9	12	-6	-0.0	33
13	Goteborg	29	7	10	12	-5	-0.3	31
14	Brommapojkarna	29	9	3	17	-14	-2.2	30
15	Degerfors	29	7	5	17	-31	-11.8	26
16	Varberg	29	3	6	20	-40	-12.7	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hacken	15	14	0	1	+31	+4.6	42
2	Malmo FF	14	10	3	1	+26	+4.0	33
3	Elfsborg	15	10	3	2	+20	+2.6	33
4	Djurgarden	15	10	2	3	+10	+4.9	32
5	Hammarby	14	8	4	2	+8	+0.3	28
6	Kalmar	14	7	3	4	-1	-2.7	24
7	Norrkoping	15	7	2	6	+2	+0.2	23
8	AIK	14	5	6	3	+5	+4.7	21
9	Varnamo	15	6	2	7	+0	+1.9	20
10	Halmstad	15	5	5	5	-3	-2.5	20
11	Sirius	14	6	1	7	+6	+8.3	19
12	Goteborg	15	5	4	6	+6	+0.7	19
13	Degerfors	14	5	2	7	-5	-2.4	17
14	Mjallby	15	4	3	8	-4	-5.1	15
15	Brommapojkarna	14	4	2	8	-6	-0.0	14
16	Varberg	14	1	4	9	-19	-2.1	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	14	10	1	3	+14	+4.0	31
2	Malmo FF	15	9	1	5	+8	+6.4	28
3	Varnamo	14	8	1	5	+5	-1.1	25
4	Mjallby	14	7	2	5	+1	+2.2	23
5	Sirius	15	5	5	5	-1	-0.4	20
6	Norrkoping	14	5	3	6	+0	+3.1	18
7	Djurgarden	14	5	3	6	-4	-2.4	18
8	Kalmar	15	5	3	7	-5	-2.7	18
9	Brommapojkarna	15	5	1	9	-8	-2.2	16
10	Hacken	14	4	3	7	+0	+3.1	15
11	Hammarby	15	3	6	6	-6	+1.0	15
12	Halmstad	14	4	3	7	-11	-2.7	15
13	AIK	15	3	3	9	-11	-4.8	12
14	Goteborg	14	2	6	6	-11	-1.0	12
15	Degerfors	15	2	3	10	-26	-9.4	9
16	Varberg	15	2	2	11	-21	-10.6	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.