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Bundesliga
Referee: S Gishamer
SK Rapid
S U T S T
1–1
Full-time
Sturm Graz
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 45%
37%
52%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
63%
74%
Both score Ø 67%
70%
63%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,6
2,0
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
6 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
20 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match SK Rapid 4. · Sturm Graz 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 28 23 4 1 +54 73
2 Sturm Graz 27 14 7 6 +19 49
3 Wolfsberger AC 28 12 4 12 -5 40
4 SK Rapid 27 10 8 9 +5 38
5 Austria Vienna 28 9 11 8 +2 38
6 LASK 28 8 10 10 +4 34
7 A. Klagenfurt 28 8 10 10 -12 34
8 Ried 28 8 9 11 -14 33
9 Tirol 28 8 9 11 -17 33
10 Admira 28 6 11 11 -5 29
11 Hartberg 28 6 10 12 -6 28
12 Altach 28 5 7 16 -25 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Apr -22 Sturm Graz – SK Rapid 2–1 20. Feb -22 Sturm Graz – SK Rapid 2–2 26. Sep -21 SK Rapid – Sturm Graz 0–3 16. May -21 Sturm Graz – SK Rapid 4–1 18. Apr -21 SK Rapid – Sturm Graz 0–0

Match report

SK Rapid Sturm Graz
L. Querfeld 🔁
↦ C. Dibon
7′
Martin Moormann 🟨
18′
Maximilian Hofmann 🟨
40′
43′
🟨 Jon Gorenc Stankovič
Half-time 0–0
50′
🟨 Rasmus Winther Højlund
53′
🟨 Jakob Jantscher
56′
🔁 I. Ljubic
↦ J. Stankovič
58′
🔁 M. Sarkaria
↦ J. Jantscher
58′
🔁 O. Kiteishvili
↦ A. Niangbo
62′
🔁 L. Jäger
↦ O. Kiteishvili
68′
🟨 Gregory Wüthrich
73′
ℹ️ Manprit Sarkaria
VAR: Penalty awarded
Y. Demir 🔁
↦ T. Schick
74′
D. Petrovič 🔁
↦ M. Oswald
74′
Marco Grüll 🟨
75′
C. Knasmüllner 🔁
↦ B. Zimmermann
75′
75′
⚽ M. Sarkaria 0–1
82′
🟨 Gregory Wüthrich
82′
🟥 Gregory Wüthrich
N. Binder 🔁
↦ M. Hofmann
87′
1–1 C. Knasmüllner ⚽
N. Binder
89′
Filip Stojković 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

SK Rapid

4-2-3-1
45 N. Hedl G
17 C. Dibon D
22 F. Stojković D
20 M. Hofmann D
26 M. Moormann D
13 T. Schick M
5 R. Ljubičić M
28 M. Oswald M
27 M. Grüll M
38 F. Druijf M
41 B. Zimmermann F
Bench (7)
43 L. Querfeld
10 Y. Demir
16 D. Petrovič
8 C. Knasmüllner
57 N. Binder
21 B. Unger
53 D. Savić

Coach: F. Feldhofer

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
27 J. Siebenhandl G
4 J. Stankovič M
5 G. Wüthrich D
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
44 A. Dante D
25 S. Hierländer M
8 A. Prass M
13 J. Jantscher F
15 A. Niangbo M
9 R. Højlund F
Bench (7)
30 I. Ljubic
11 M. Sarkaria
10 O. Kiteishvili
17 L. Jäger
19 A. Kuen
23 L. Kronberger
32 T. Schützenauer

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Gishamer · 121 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.