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Ligue 1

Referee: J Pignard

Lille

S U U T T

1–0

Full-time

Strasbourg

U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Strasbourg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,5

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

0,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 41%

36%

45%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

48%

42%

Both score Ø 58%

61%

55%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

11 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 6

5 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lille 10. · Strasbourg 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	34	24	6	4	+45	78
2	Marseille	33	18	8	7	+22	62
3	Rennes	34	18	5	11	+39	59
4	Monaco	34	17	8	9	+20	59
5	Nice	34	17	7	10	+14	58
6	Strasbourg	33	15	11	7	+20	56
7	Lens	34	15	9	10	+11	54
8	Lyon	34	14	11	9	+11	53
9	Nantes	34	14	8	12	+7	50
10	Lille	33	12	12	9	+1	48
11	Brest	34	12	9	13	-5	45
12	Montpellier	34	12	6	16	-5	42
13	Reims	33	9	13	11	+0	40
14	Angers	34	8	11	15	-13	35
15	Lorient	34	8	10	16	-24	34
16	Troyes	34	8	9	17	-17	33
17	Clermont	34	8	9	17	-28	33
18	St Etienne	34	7	10	17	-30	31
19	Bordeaux	34	5	12	17	-37	27
20	Metz	34	4	12	18	-31	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	15	2	0	+32	47
2	Rennes	17	12	1	4	+33	37
3	Lyon	18	10	5	3	+16	35
4	Monaco	17	10	4	3	+18	34
5	Strasbourg	17	10	4	3	+17	34
6	Nantes	17	10	3	4	+12	33
7	Lens	17	9	5	3	+15	32
8	Nice	17	9	4	4	+6	31
9	Marseille	17	8	5	4	+10	29
10	Montpellier	17	7	4	6	+5	25
11	Lille	16	6	7	3	+2	25
12	Lorient	16	6	5	5	+2	23
13	Brest	16	6	4	6	+0	22
14	Reims	16	5	6	5	+5	21
15	Angers	17	6	2	9	-5	20
16	Troyes	17	4	7	6	-1	19
17	St Etienne	18	4	6	8	-13	18
18	Bordeaux	17	3	6	8	-7	15
19	Clermont	17	3	6	8	-11	15
20	Metz	17	1	7	9	-12	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	16	10	3	3	+12	33
2	Paris SG	17	9	4	4	+13	31
3	Nice	17	8	3	6	+8	27
4	Monaco	17	7	4	6	+2	25
5	Lille	17	6	5	6	-1	23
6	Brest	18	6	5	7	-5	23
7	Rennes	17	6	4	7	+6	22
8	Strasbourg	16	5	7	4	+3	22
9	Lens	17	6	4	7	-4	22
10	Reims	17	4	7	6	-5	19
11	Lyon	16	4	6	6	-5	18
12	Clermont	17	5	3	9	-17	18
13	Nantes	17	4	5	8	-5	17
14	Montpellier	17	5	2	10	-10	17
15	Angers	17	2	9	6	-8	15
16	Troyes	17	4	2	11	-16	14
17	Metz	17	3	5	9	-19	14
18	St Etienne	16	3	4	9	-17	13
19	Bordeaux	17	2	6	9	-30	12
20	Lorient	18	2	5	11	-26	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.