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Serie A

Referee: L Marinelli

Empoli

T U T U T

3–2

Full-time

Napoli

S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Napoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,5

3,0

Scored

0,3

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,3

This season — Serie A · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 43%

24%

61%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

55%

48%

Both score Ø 58%

64%

52%

Average goals

3,1

2,6

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%

17 Shots 16

7 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 6

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 9

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Empoli 14. · Napoli 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	33	21	9	3	+45	72
2	Milan	33	21	8	4	+29	71
3	Napoli	33	20	7	6	+32	67
4	Juventus	33	18	9	6	+21	63
5	Roma	34	17	7	10	+15	58
6	Lazio	33	16	8	9	+17	56
7	Fiorentina	33	17	5	11	+12	56
8	Atalanta	33	15	9	9	+18	54
9	Verona	34	13	10	11	+8	49
10	Sassuolo	33	12	10	11	+5	46
11	Torino	33	11	10	12	+6	43
12	Udinese	32	9	12	11	-3	39
13	Bologna	32	10	8	14	-10	38
14	Empoli	33	8	10	15	-18	34
15	Spezia	34	9	6	19	-25	33
16	Sampdoria	34	8	6	20	-16	30
17	Cagliari	33	6	10	17	-30	28
18	Salernitana	33	6	7	20	-42	25
19	Genoa	33	2	16	15	-30	22
20	Venezia	33	5	7	21	-34	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	17	12	3	2	+27	39
2	Fiorentina	16	11	2	3	+18	35
3	Milan	17	10	4	3	+13	34
4	Roma	17	10	4	3	+10	34
5	Lazio	16	9	5	2	+16	32
6	Juventus	17	9	4	4	+10	31
7	Napoli	17	9	3	5	+13	30
8	Verona	17	9	3	5	+12	30
9	Torino	17	8	5	4	+12	29
10	Udinese	17	6	7	4	+4	25
11	Bologna	16	7	3	6	+2	24
12	Sassuolo	16	6	5	5	+1	23
13	Atalanta	16	4	6	6	+3	18
14	Spezia	16	5	3	8	-3	18
15	Sampdoria	17	4	3	10	-7	15
16	Cagliari	17	3	6	8	-10	15
17	Empoli	16	3	4	9	-15	13
18	Genoa	16	1	8	7	-12	11
19	Salernitana	16	2	5	9	-19	11
20	Venezia	17	2	4	11	-18	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	16	11	4	1	+19	37
2	Milan	16	11	4	1	+16	37
3	Atalanta	17	11	3	3	+15	36
4	Inter	16	9	6	1	+18	33
5	Juventus	16	9	5	2	+11	32
6	Roma	17	7	3	7	+5	24
7	Lazio	17	7	3	7	+1	24
8	Sassuolo	17	6	5	6	+4	23
9	Empoli	17	5	6	6	-3	21
10	Fiorentina	17	6	3	8	-6	21
11	Verona	17	4	7	6	-4	19
12	Sampdoria	17	4	3	10	-9	15
13	Spezia	18	4	3	11	-22	15
14	Torino	16	3	5	8	-6	14
15	Udinese	15	3	5	7	-7	14
16	Bologna	16	3	5	8	-12	14
17	Salernitana	17	4	2	11	-23	14
18	Cagliari	16	3	4	9	-20	13
19	Venezia	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Genoa	17	1	8	8	-18	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.