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Serie A
Referee: A Santoro
Bologna
T T U S U
2–2
Full-time
Udinese
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,0
3,3
Scored
0,5
2,2
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
This season — Serie A · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 30%
31%
28%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
47%
50%
Both score Ø 52%
44%
59%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%
10 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 22
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bologna 13. · Udinese 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 33 21 9 3 +45 72
2 Milan 33 21 8 4 +29 71
3 Napoli 33 20 7 6 +32 67
4 Juventus 33 18 9 6 +21 63
5 Roma 34 17 7 10 +15 58
6 Lazio 33 16 8 9 +17 56
7 Fiorentina 33 17 5 11 +12 56
8 Atalanta 33 15 9 9 +18 54
9 Verona 34 13 10 11 +8 49
10 Sassuolo 33 12 10 11 +5 46
11 Torino 33 11 10 12 +6 43
12 Udinese 32 9 12 11 -3 39
13 Bologna 32 10 8 14 -10 38
14 Empoli 33 8 10 15 -18 34
15 Spezia 34 9 6 19 -25 33
16 Sampdoria 34 8 6 20 -16 30
17 Cagliari 33 6 10 17 -30 28
18 Salernitana 33 6 7 20 -42 25
19 Genoa 33 2 16 15 -30 22
20 Venezia 33 5 7 21 -34 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bologna Udinese
1–0 A. Hickey
M. Svanberg
6′
25′
D. Udogie 1–1
I. Success
30′
🟨 Nehuén Pérez
Half-time 1–2
46′
I. Success 1–2
Deulofeu
N. Sansone 🔁
↦ L. Binks
57′
M. Aebischer 🔁
↦ N. Domínguez
58′
2–2 N. Sansone
R. Orsolini
59′
63′
🔁 L. Samardžić
↦ T. Arslan
Nicola Sansone 🟨
70′
I. Mbaye 🔁
↦ A. Hickey
75′
N. Viola 🔁
↦ M. Svanberg
75′
Lorenzo De Silvestri 🟨
81′
D. Falcinelli 🔁
↦ R. Soriano
87′
87′
🔁 I. Pussetto
↦ Deulofeu
90′
🟨 Ignacio Pussetto
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Bologna

3-5-2
22 F. Bardi G
29 L. De Silvestri M
4 K. Bonifazi D
2 L. Binks D
6 A. Theate D
3 A. Hickey M
21 R. Soriano M
32 M. Svanberg M
8 N. Domínguez M
7 R. Orsolini F
99 M. Barrow F
Bench (12)
10 N. Sansone
20 M. Aebischer
15 I. Mbaye
14 N. Viola
91 D. Falcinelli
35 M. Dijks
12 M. Molla
71 D. Kasius
31 R. Stivanello
19 F. Santander
76 A. Raimondo
23 N. Bagnolini

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Udinese

3-5-2
1 M. Silvestri G
22 Pablo Marí D
50 Rodrigo Becão D
16 N. Molina M
2 N. Pérez D
13 D. Udogie M
5 T. Arslan M
11 Walace M
6 J. Makengo M
10 Deulofeu F
7 I. Success F
Bench (10)
24 L. Samardžić
23 I. Pussetto
20 D. Padelli
8 M. Jajalo
30 I. Nestorovski
31 M. Gasparini
4 M. Zeegelaar
28 F. Benković
93 B. Soppy
17 B. Nuytinck

Coach: G. Cioffi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,87
U ✓
3,33
B
2,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,94
U2,5
1,88
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Santoro · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.