Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Bologna
Udinese
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
33 | 21 | 9 | 3 | +45 | 72 |
| 2 |
Milan
|
33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | +29 | 71 |
| 3 |
Napoli
|
33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | +32 | 67 |
| 4 |
Juventus
|
33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | +21 | 63 |
| 5 |
Roma
|
34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | +15 | 58 |
| 6 |
Lazio
|
33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | +17 | 56 |
| 7 |
Fiorentina
|
33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | +12 | 56 |
| 8 |
Atalanta
|
33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | +18 | 54 |
| 9 |
Verona
|
34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | +8 | 49 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | +5 | 46 |
| 11 |
Torino
|
33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | +6 | 43 |
| 12 |
Udinese
|
32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 |
Bologna
|
32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -10 | 38 |
| 14 |
Empoli
|
33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | -18 | 34 |
| 15 |
Spezia
|
34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | -25 | 33 |
| 16 |
Sampdoria
|
34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | -16 | 30 |
| 17 |
Cagliari
|
33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -30 | 28 |
| 18 |
Salernitana
|
33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | -42 | 25 |
| 19 |
Genoa
|
33 | 2 | 16 | 15 | -30 | 22 |
| 20 |
Venezia
|
33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | -34 | 22 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
F. Bardi
G
L. De Silvestri
M
L. Binks
D
A. Theate
D
A. Hickey
M
M. Svanberg
M
N. Domínguez
M
R. Orsolini
F
Coach: S. Mihajlović
N. Molina
M
N. Pérez
D
D. Udogie
M
J. Makengo
M
Coach: G. Cioffi
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Juventus
Bologna
Bologna
Sampdoria
Milan
Bologna
Bologna
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Bologna
A Santoro · 51 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.