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Svenska Cupen
Referee: O Johnson
Malmo FF
U T U S S
3–0
Full-time
Vasteras SK
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Vasteras SK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,7
2,5
Scored
3,0
1,7
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Svenska Cupen · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
5,0
4,0
Scored
4,0
3,3
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+2,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Malmo FF 6. · Vasteras SK 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mjallby 4 4 0 0 +16 12
2 Norrkoping 4 4 0 0 +8 12
3 Goteborg 4 4 0 0 +8 12
4 Elfsborg 4 3 1 0 +8 10
5 Trelleborg 4 3 1 0 +4 10
6 Malmo FF 3 3 0 0 +9 9
7 Vasteras SK 3 3 0 0 +8 9
8 Hacken 4 3 0 1 +5 9
9 Halmstad 4 3 0 1 +5 9
10 GAIS 4 3 0 1 +4 9
11 Stockholm Internazionale 4 3 0 1 +4 9
12 Oster 4 3 0 1 +3 9
13 Sirius 4 3 0 1 +2 9
14 AIK 4 2 2 0 +8 8
15 Brommapojkarna 4 2 2 0 +8 8
16 Hammarby 3 2 1 0 +8 7
17 Djurgarden 4 2 1 1 +6 7
18 Degerfors 4 2 1 1 +3 7
19 Karlberg 5 2 1 2 -1 7
20 Kalmar 3 2 0 1 +4 6
21 Orgryte 4 2 0 2 -2 6
22 Landskrona 4 2 0 2 -2 6
23 Sandviken 4 2 0 2 -3 6
24 Varberg 3 1 1 1 +0 4
25 Oddevold 4 1 1 2 -1 4
26 IK brage 4 1 1 2 -2 4
27 FBK Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +4 3
28 Trollhättan 2 1 0 1 +3 3
29 Berga 2 1 0 1 +3 3
30 Smedby 2 1 0 1 +3 3
31 Sollentuna 2 1 0 1 +2 3
32 Jonkopings Sodra 2 1 0 1 +2 3
33 Falkenbergs FF 2 1 0 1 +2 3
34 Tvååker 2 1 0 1 +1 3
35 Ariana 2 1 0 1 +1 3
36 IF Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +0 3
37 Huddinge 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 Tord 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 Täby 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Enskede 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Skövde AIK 3 1 0 2 -1 3
42 Nyköping 2 1 0 1 -1 3
43 Götaholm 2 1 0 1 -1 3
44 Gute 2 1 0 1 -1 3
45 Simrishamn 2 1 0 1 -1 3
46 Piteå 2 1 0 1 -1 3
47 Herrestads 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Torslanda 2 1 0 1 -2 3
49 IFK Hässleholm 2 1 0 1 -2 3
50 Angelholms FF 2 1 0 1 -2 3
51 Varnamo 4 1 0 3 -3 3
52 Helsingborg 4 1 0 3 -3 3
53 Eskilsminne 2 1 0 1 -3 3
54 Orebro SK 4 1 0 3 -4 3
55 Stocksund 2 1 0 1 -4 3
56 Järfälla 2 1 0 1 -4 3
57 Årsunda 2 1 0 1 -4 3
58 IFK Östersund 2 1 0 1 -4 3
59 Kubikenborg 2 1 0 1 -5 3
60 Utsikten 3 1 0 2 -5 3
61 Gefle IF 4 1 0 3 -10 3
62 Borens 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Viggbyholms IK 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Haga 2 0 1 1 -2 1
65 Nacka Iliria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Gottne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Gauthiod 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Vasalund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Onsala 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Ostersunds FK 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Skellefteå 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Balkan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Korsnäs 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 IFK Eskilstuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Sundsvall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Hudiksvall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 IFK Skövde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Arlanda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Vänersborgs IF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Sunnersta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Brålanda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Stegeborgs 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Kristianopels 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Torns 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Franke 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Åstorp 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Tidaholms GoIF 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Zenith 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Lödde 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 Dalkurd FF 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Timmernabbens 1 0 0 1 -4 0
92 Haninge 1 0 0 1 -4 0
93 Jönköpings BK 1 0 0 1 -4 0
94 Landvetter IS 1 0 0 1 -4 0
95 Styrsö 1 0 0 1 -5 0
96 Forward 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malmo FF Vasteras SK
3′
🟨 J. Magnusson
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 M. Diagne
1–0 P. Jansson
56′
2–0 E. Botheim
62′
S. Hakšabanović 🔁
↦ E. Ekong
63′
63′
🔁 H. Offia
↦ J. Ali
63′
🔁 M. Larsson
↦ V. Wernersson
73′
🔁 H. Engström
↦ A. Warneryd
73′
🔁 Pedro Ribeiro
↦ M. Diagne
3–0 L. Berg Johnsen
73′
I. Kiese Thelin 🔁
↦ A. Christiansen
80′
Z. Loukili 🔁
↦ H. Bolin
80′
84′
🟨 K. Gunnarsson
A. Skogmar 🔁
↦ J. Karlsson
86′
D. Guðjohnsen 🔁
↦ E. Botheim
86′
86′
🔁 A. Taonsa
↦ K. Gunnarsson
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Malmo FF

1 Ricardo Friedrich
18 P. Jansson
19 C. Rösler
25 Gabriel Busanello
2 J. Karlsson
10 A. Christiansen
23 L. Berg Johnsen
11 E. Ekong
7 O. Rosengren
38 H. Bolin
20 E. Botheim
Bench (9)
29 S. Hakšabanović
9 I. Kiese Thelin
34 Z. Loukili
37 A. Skogmar
32 D. Guðjohnsen
33 M. Ellborg
13 M. Olsson
35 N. Zätterström
14 S. Jørgensen

Coach: H. Rydström

Vasteras SK

André Bernardini
F. Nsabiyumva
Bernardo Vilar
L. Abadid
V. Wernersson
J. Magnusson
K. Gunnarsson
M. Diagne
A. Warneryd
J. Johansson
J. Ali
Bench (9)
H. Offia
M. Larsson
H. Engström
Pedro Ribeiro
A. Taonsa
A. Padovan
E. Wahl
L. Bark
S. Johansson

Coach: K. Karlsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

O Johnson · 45 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.