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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Kos
Legia
U S S U T
3–1
Full-time
GKS Katowice
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legia GKS Katowice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 2/3 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
0,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,41 xG 1,16
58% Possession 42%
20 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Legia 10. · GKS Katowice 17. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Wisla Plock 4 3 1 0 +5 +4.8 10
2 Radomiak Radom 4 2 1 1 +3 -0.1 7
3 Widzew Lodz 4 2 1 1 +3 +2.2 7
4 Nieciecza 4 2 1 1 +3 -0.2 7
5 Cracovia 4 2 1 1 +2 +2.6 7
6 Jagiellonia 3 2 0 1 +0 -2.5 6
7 Gornik Zabrze 4 2 0 2 +0 -0.2 6
8 Lech Poznan 3 2 0 1 -1 +3.4 6
9 Arka Gdynia 4 1 2 1 +0 -3.8 5
10 Legia 2 1 1 0 +2 +2.3 4
11 Korona Kielce 4 1 1 2 -1 -2.1 4
12 Pogon Szczecin 4 1 1 2 -2 +2.0 4
13 Rakow 3 1 0 2 -2 -0.3 3
14 Motor Lublin 2 1 0 1 -2 +0.6 3
15 Zaglebie 3 0 2 1 -1 +0.1 2
16 Lechia Gdansk 3 0 1 2 -2 -3.9 1
17 GKS Katowice 3 0 1 2 -4 -4.2 1
18 Piast Gliwice 2 0 0 2 -3 -0.7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Legia GKS Katowice
1–0 P. Wszolek ⚽
A. Jedrzejczyk
43′
Half-time 1–0
Radovan Pankov 🟨
46′
Paweł Wszołek 🟨
48′
R. Morishita 🔁
↦ M. Alfarela
58′
62′
🔁 A. Zrelak
↦ M. Rosolek
A. Reca 🔁
↦ C. Goncalves
69′
P. Stojanovic 🔁
↦ V. Bichakhchyan
69′
83′
🔁 M. Wedrychowski
↦ A. Blad
84′
⚽ B. Nowak 1–1
M. Wasielewski
I. Shkurin 🔁
↦ J. Nsame
85′
W. Urbanski 🔁
↦ R. Vinagre
85′
Wojciech Urbański 🟨
88′
2–1 A. Jedrzejczyk ⚽
P. Wszolek
90′
3–1 R. Morishita ⚽
P. Stojanovic
90′
94′
🟨 Dawid Kudła
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Legia

4-3-3
1 K. Tobiasz G
7 P. Wszolek D
12 R. Pankov D
55 A. Jedrzejczyk D
19 R. Vinagre D
67 B. Kapustka M
4 M. Burch M
5 C. Goncalves M
21 V. Bichakhchyan F
18 J. Nsame F
9 M. Alfarela F
Bench (11)
27 G. Kobylak
3 S. Kapuadi
24 J. Ziolkowski
8 R. Augustyniak
13 A. Reca
23 P. Kun
30 P. Stojanovic
20 J. Zewlakow
17 I. Shkurin
25 R. Morishita
53 W. Urbanski

Coach: Marek Papszun

GKS Katowice

3-4-3
1 D. Kudla G
30 A. Czerwinski D
4 A. Jedrych D
2 M. Kuusk D
23 M. Wasielewski M
77 M. Kowalczyk M
19 K. Lukasiak M
8 B. Galan M
11 A. Blad F
7 M. Rosolek F
27 B. Nowak F
Bench (10)
12 R. Straczek
3 A. Paluszek
6 L. Klemenz
10 M. Wedrychowski
14 J. Lukowski
20 F. Rejczyk
21 A. Buksa
22 S. Milewski
99 A. Zrelak
24 K. Gruszkowski

Coach: Rafal Gorak

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

D Kos · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.