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Ekstraklasa
Referee: Karol Arys
Motor Lublin
S S S T U
0–0
Full-time
Piast Gliwice
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motor Lublin Piast Gliwice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,5
1,8
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
4,0
1,5
Scored
1,7
0,0
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%
8 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 6
4 Offside 5
17 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motor Lublin 14. · Piast Gliwice 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Wisla Plock 4 3 1 0 +5 +4.8 10
2 Cracovia 5 3 1 1 +3 +2.5 10
3 Legia 3 2 1 0 +4 +3.6 7
4 Radomiak Radom 4 2 1 1 +3 -0.1 7
5 Nieciecza 4 2 1 1 +3 -0.2 7
6 Widzew Lodz 5 2 1 2 +2 +2.2 7
7 Jagiellonia 3 2 0 1 +0 -2.5 6
8 Gornik Zabrze 4 2 0 2 +0 -0.2 6
9 Lech Poznan 3 2 0 1 -1 +3.4 6
10 Zaglebie 4 1 2 1 +3 +2.2 5
11 Arka Gdynia 4 1 2 1 +0 -3.8 5
12 Korona Kielce 4 1 1 2 -1 -2.1 4
13 Pogon Szczecin 4 1 1 2 -2 +2.0 4
14 Motor Lublin 3 1 1 1 -2 -1.0 4
15 Rakow 3 1 0 2 -2 -0.3 3
16 Lechia Gdansk 5 0 2 3 -6 -4.3 2
17 GKS Katowice 4 0 1 3 -6 -5.4 1
18 Piast Gliwice 2 0 0 2 -3 -0.7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motor Lublin Piast Gliwice
23′
🟨 Quentin Boisgard
Half-time 0–0
Mbaye Ndiaye 🟨
61′
R. Dadashov 🔁
↦ K. Czubak
63′
K. Karasek 🔁
↦ I. Rodrigues
64′
B. van Hoeven 🔁
↦ M. Ndiaye
64′
65′
🟨 Ema Twumasi
70′
🔁 Juande
↦ J. Czerwinski
70′
🔁 G. Tomasiewicz
↦ Q. Boisgard
Jakub Łabojko 🟨
71′
S. Samper 🔁
↦ J. Labojko
71′
K. Palacz 🔁
↦ F. Luberecki
78′
78′
🔁 O. Lesniak
↦ L. Sanca
78′
🔁 S. Mucha
↦ E. Jirka
78′
🔁 H. Vallejo
↦ G. Barkovskiy
Kacper Karasek 🟥
80′
Renat Dadaşov 🟨
88′
Bright Ede 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Motor Lublin

4-1-4-1
1 I. Brkic G
17 F. Wojcik D
3 H. Matthys D
42 B. Ede D
24 F. Luberecki D
21 J. Labojko M
26 M. Krol M
68 B. Wolski M
7 I. Rodrigues M
30 M. Ndiaye M
9 K. Czubak F
Bench (10)
33 G. Tratnik
2 P. Meyer
47 K. Palacz
28 P. Stolarski
23 F. Haxha
10 K. Karasek
6 S. Samper
8 M. Scalet
19 B. van Hoeven
77 R. Dadashov

Coach: Mateusz Stolarski

Piast Gliwice

4-3-3
26 F. Plach G
55 E. Twumasi D
4 J. Czerwinski D
29 I. Drapinski D
36 J. Lewicki D
17 Q. Boisgard M
10 P. Dziczek M
6 M. Chrapek M
77 E. Jirka F
63 G. Barkovskiy F
11 L. Sanca F
Bench (11)
79 D. Rychta
33 K. Szymanski
28 F. Borowski
15 L. Pitan
5 Juande
27 J. Daniel
31 O. Lesniak
19 K. Lubowiecki
23 S. Mucha
20 G. Tomasiewicz
80 H. Vallejo

Coach: Max Mölder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Karol Arys · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.