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Ekstraklasa

Referee: J Przybyl

Jagiellonia

U T T S T

0–0

Full-time

Lech Poznan

T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 44%

42%

46%

Points per game

1,6

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

69%

Both score Ø 69%

69%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,04 xG 1,26

49% Possession 51%

10 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Jagiellonia 4. · Lech Poznan 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	26	12	8	6	+9	+20.1	44
2	Gornik Zabrze	27	12	6	9	+7	-3.1	42
3	Zaglebie	26	11	8	7	+10	-4.3	41
4	Jagiellonia	26	11	8	7	+9	-1.1	41
5	Lechia Gdansk	26	11	6	9	+3	+4.0	39
6	Rakow	27	11	6	10	+2	+7.6	39
7	Wisla Plock	27	10	9	8	+2	-0.9	39
8	GKS Katowice	27	12	3	12	+1	-7.2	39
9	Motor Lublin	26	9	10	7	-3	-5.6	37
10	Korona Kielce	26	10	6	10	+4	-3.2	36
11	Cracovia	27	9	9	9	+0	+1.8	36
12	Piast Gliwice	26	10	5	11	-1	-3.6	35
13	Pogon Szczecin	26	10	4	12	-4	+8.4	34
14	Radomiak Radom	26	8	9	9	+2	-1.2	33
15	Legia	26	6	12	8	-1	+0.4	30
16	Widzew Lodz	27	8	6	13	-3	+4.7	30
17	Arka Gdynia	26	8	6	12	-19	-8.6	30
18	Nieciecza	26	5	7	14	-18	-8.2	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	14	9	1	4	+14	+3.3	28
2	Pogon Szczecin	13	8	2	3	+9	+10.4	26
3	GKS Katowice	14	8	2	4	+6	-1.5	26
4	Arka Gdynia	13	7	5	1	+5	-3.6	26
5	Radomiak Radom	13	7	3	3	+14	+7.6	24
6	Lechia Gdansk	13	7	3	3	+11	+4.9	24
7	Wisla Plock	13	7	3	3	+5	+1.9	24
8	Zaglebie	13	6	5	2	+12	+1.6	23
9	Jagiellonia	13	7	2	4	+9	+3.7	23
10	Lech Poznan	13	6	4	3	+6	+13.1	22
11	Motor Lublin	14	5	7	2	+4	+2.0	22
12	Korona Kielce	13	6	2	5	+5	+3.0	20
13	Legia	13	5	5	3	+5	+1.7	20
14	Cracovia	13	5	5	3	+4	+5.9	20
15	Widzew Lodz	13	5	4	4	+2	+2.8	19
16	Rakow	13	5	4	4	+2	+4.5	19
17	Piast Gliwice	13	5	3	5	+1	+2.2	18
18	Nieciecza	13	2	4	7	-9	-3.1	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	13	6	4	3	+3	+7.0	22
2	Rakow	14	6	2	6	+0	+3.1	20
3	Jagiellonia	13	4	6	3	+0	-4.8	18
4	Zaglebie	13	5	3	5	-2	-5.8	18
5	Piast Gliwice	13	5	2	6	-2	-5.8	17
6	Korona Kielce	13	4	4	5	-1	-6.2	16
7	Cracovia	14	4	4	6	-4	-4.1	16
8	Wisla Plock	14	3	6	5	-3	-2.8	15
9	Motor Lublin	12	4	3	5	-7	-7.7	15
10	Lechia Gdansk	13	4	3	6	-8	-0.9	15
11	Gornik Zabrze	13	3	5	5	-7	-6.3	14
12	GKS Katowice	13	4	1	8	-5	-5.7	13
13	Nieciecza	13	3	3	7	-9	-5.2	12
14	Widzew Lodz	14	3	2	9	-5	+1.9	11
15	Legia	13	1	7	5	-6	-1.3	10
16	Radomiak Radom	13	1	6	6	-12	-8.8	9
17	Pogon Szczecin	13	2	2	9	-13	-2.0	8
18	Arka Gdynia	13	1	1	11	-24	-5.0	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.