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Ekstraklasa

Referee: Y Araki

Motor Lublin

S U T S U

1–2

Full-time

Lech Poznan

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motor Lublin Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,8

3,3

Scored

2,0

2,2

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 52%

41%

63%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

52%

Both score Ø 50%

56%

44%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,9

Conceded

1,7

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,37 xG 1,37

48% Possession 52%

14 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 4

1 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Motor Lublin 8. · Lech Poznan 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	28	17	8	3	+24	+11.8	59
2	Lech Poznan	27	17	2	8	+26	+9.1	53
3	Jagiellonia	27	15	7	5	+16	+3.7	52
4	Pogon Szczecin	28	14	5	9	+16	+12.3	47
5	Legia	27	12	8	7	+14	+9.6	44
6	Cracovia	28	11	9	8	+5	-4.3	42
7	Gornik Zabrze	28	12	4	12	+4	+5.1	40
8	Motor Lublin	27	11	7	9	-6	+0.1	40
9	GKS Katowice	28	11	6	11	+1	+1.7	39
10	Piast Gliwice	28	9	10	9	-1	-3.7	37
11	Widzew Lodz	28	10	6	12	-8	-5.9	36
12	Korona Kielce	28	9	9	10	-10	+0.6	36
13	Radomiak Radom	28	10	4	14	-5	-0.7	34
14	Zaglebie	28	8	5	15	-17	-7.1	29
15	Puszcza	28	6	8	14	-15	-15.2	26
16	Slask Wroclaw	28	5	10	13	-10	-0.8	25
17	Stal Mielec	27	6	6	15	-15	+0.3	24
18	Lechia Gdansk	27	6	6	15	-19	-16.5	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	14	12	0	2	+25	+8.3	36
2	Pogon Szczecin	14	11	1	2	+18	+13.5	34
3	Jagiellonia	14	9	4	1	+16	+5.5	31
4	Legia	13	8	3	2	+15	+8.6	27
5	Rakow	14	8	3	3	+10	+6.7	27
6	GKS Katowice	14	7	4	3	+8	-1.3	25
7	Gornik Zabrze	14	7	2	5	+7	+6.4	23
8	Widzew Lodz	14	7	2	5	+0	+0.1	23
9	Motor Lublin	13	6	4	3	+4	+0.9	22
10	Korona Kielce	14	6	2	6	-2	+5.8	20
11	Radomiak Radom	14	5	4	5	+4	+3.7	19
12	Stal Mielec	14	5	4	5	-1	+5.2	19
13	Cracovia	15	4	6	5	+0	-1.3	18
14	Piast Gliwice	14	4	6	4	-2	-0.5	18
15	Puszcza	13	4	5	4	-1	-1.5	17
16	Zaglebie	14	5	2	7	-5	-3.4	17
17	Slask Wroclaw	14	3	6	5	-1	-0.7	15
18	Lechia Gdansk	13	4	2	7	-8	-8.7	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	14	9	5	0	+14	+5.2	32
2	Cracovia	13	7	3	3	+5	-3.1	24
3	Jagiellonia	13	6	3	4	+0	-1.8	21
4	Piast Gliwice	14	5	4	5	+1	-3.2	19
5	Motor Lublin	14	5	3	6	-10	-0.9	18
6	Lech Poznan	13	5	2	6	+1	+0.7	17
7	Legia	14	4	5	5	-1	+1.0	17
8	Gornik Zabrze	14	5	2	7	-3	-1.2	17
9	Korona Kielce	14	3	7	4	-8	-5.2	16
10	Radomiak Radom	14	5	0	9	-9	-4.4	15
11	GKS Katowice	14	4	2	8	-7	+3.0	14
12	Pogon Szczecin	14	3	4	7	-2	-1.2	13
13	Widzew Lodz	14	3	4	7	-8	-5.9	13
14	Zaglebie	14	3	3	8	-12	-3.8	12
15	Slask Wroclaw	14	2	4	8	-9	-0.1	10
16	Lechia Gdansk	14	2	4	8	-11	-7.8	10
17	Puszcza	15	2	3	10	-14	-13.7	9
18	Stal Mielec	13	1	2	10	-14	-4.9	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.